Mesoscale Discussion 1601
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0716 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024

   Areas affected...North-central MN and far southeast ND

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 524...

   Valid 140016Z - 140145Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 524
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A brief tornado, locally damaging winds, and isolated
   severe hail will remain the primary threats through about dusk. An
   increasing risk for damaging winds may occur later this evening
   towards parts of west-central to north-central Minnesota.

   DISCUSSION...Multiple areas of sustained convection are ongoing, the
   more prominent of which are near the international border in the
   Lake of the Woods area, and separately along the surface
   front/trough over far southeast ND into northwest MN. This latter
   convection has been holding nearly stationary, which will allow for
   a progressively deeper cold pool to form across northwest MN. Recent
   HRRR runs and afternoon guidance remain insistent on upscale growth
   occurring to the east-southeast into portions of central MN. This
   appears plausible given the presence of a substantial MLCAPE
   gradient lying to the southeast of these ongoing storms.

   ..Grams.. 07/14/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...ABR...

   LAT...LON   47279676 47449618 47809565 48809536 49109490 49089416
               48799332 48689328 46859341 46059391 45849461 45909594
               46219691 46609713 47279676