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Mesoscale Discussion 1570
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1570
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1215 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2024

   Areas affected...Parts of central/northern New York

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 517...

   Valid 101715Z - 101845Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 517 continues.

   SUMMARY...Discrete storms in central New York will encounter
   increasingly favorable environment for tornadoes as the move
   northeast the next 1-2 hours.

   DISCUSSION...A few discrete storms have formed north-northeast of
   Binghamton. With the more dense cloud cover shifting northward,
   temperatures are beginning to rise into the low to mid 80s F ahead
   of these storms. Given the favorable storm mode and low-level shear
   near the warm front (effective SRH around 200 m2/s2 per objective
   mesoanalysis), the tornado risk with these storms will likely
   increase over the next 1-2 hours.

   ..Wendt.. 07/10/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...

   LAT...LON   42807597 43557580 43917540 44107453 43867407 43577392
               43127409 42637474 42527518 42427592 42447603 42807597 

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