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Mesoscale Discussion 924 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0924
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0251 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024
Areas affected...southeastern Oklahoma...northeastern
Texas...southwestern Arkansas...and northwestern Louisiana
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 298...
Valid 240751Z - 240945Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 298
continues.
SUMMARY...Local severe risk continues with clusters of storms moving
east-southeastward toward/across the Arklatex region and
southeastern Oklahoma. New/downstream WW may be required soon.
DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows two distinct clusters of
strong/potentially severe storms -- one across southeastern
Oklahoma, and the other moving across far southeastern Oklahoma and
northeastern Texas, and moving into southwestern Arkansas. This
convection remains fairly well-organized, aided by persistent
low-level warm advection within a thermodynamic environment
featuring 2000 to 3000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE, per recent RAP-based
objective analysis.
Given ample instability downstream from the ongoing storms, and per
CAM output, it seems that storms will likely continue moving
east-southeastward over the next few hours -- with the leading
cluster to begin exiting the existing WW over the next hour. As
such, new/downstream WW issuance may be needed.
..Goss.. 05/24/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 33629704 33969700 34579592 34199448 33989200 32489239
32549351 33629704
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