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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 439
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
120 PM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Colorado
Nebraska Panhandle
Southwest South Dakota
Southeast Wyoming
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 120 PM until
700 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify this afternoon over southeast
Wyoming and northeast Colorado and spread eastward through the early
evening. Supercells capable of very large hail and damaging wind
gusts are the main concern. An isolated tornado and/or landspout or
two is also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles northwest of
Cheyenne WY to 35 miles east northeast of Alliance NE. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 438...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 439 SEVERE TSTM CO NE SD WY 201920Z - 210100Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40NW CYS/CHEYENNE WY/ - 35ENE AIA/ALLIANCE NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM N/S /21NE LAR - 62ENE BFF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 42930537 43620217 40870217 40180537
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 439 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 439
VALID 210040Z - 210140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE DEN TO
40 WNW AKO TO 20 W SNY TO 20 NW SNY TO 20 SSE AIA TO 35 ENE AIA
TO 50 ENE AIA.
..WENDT..06/21/24
ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...LBF...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 439
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-087-115-123-210140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN MORGAN SEDGWICK
WELD
$$
NEC033-049-069-123-210140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DEUEL GARDEN
MORRILL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 439
VALID 202350Z - 210040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW DEN
TO 40 E FCL TO 40 E CYS TO 20 SW BFF TO 15 WSW AIA TO 20 NNE AIA
TO 30 ENE CDR TO 35 S PHP.
..WENDT..06/20/24
ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...LBF...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 439
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-087-115-123-210040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN MORGAN SEDGWICK
WELD
$$
NEC007-033-049-069-105-123-161-210040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER CHEYENNE DEUEL
GARDEN KIMBALL MORRILL
SHERIDAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 439
VALID 202220Z - 202340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1347
..WENDT..06/20/24
ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...LBF...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 439
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-087-115-123-202340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN MORGAN SEDGWICK
WELD
$$
NEC007-013-033-045-049-069-105-123-157-161-165-202340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE
DAWES DEUEL GARDEN
KIMBALL MORRILL SCOTTS BLUFF
SHERIDAN SIOUX
$$
SDC047-102-202340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FALL RIVER OGLALA LAKOTA
$$
WYC009-015-021-027-031-202340-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CONVERSE GOSHEN LARAMIE
NIOBRARA PLATTE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 439
VALID 202025Z - 202140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..06/20/24
ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...LBF...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 439
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-087-115-123-202140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN MORGAN SEDGWICK
WELD
$$
NEC007-013-033-045-049-069-105-123-157-161-165-202140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANNER BOX BUTTE CHEYENNE
DAWES DEUEL GARDEN
KIMBALL MORRILL SCOTTS BLUFF
SHERIDAN SIOUX
$$
SDC047-102-202140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FALL RIVER OGLALA LAKOTA
$$
WYC009-015-021-027-031-202140-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CONVERSE GOSHEN LARAMIE
NIOBRARA PLATTE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.