Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 252
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1050 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Alabama
Southern Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 1050 PM
until 300 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A severe squall line over southeast Louisiana will
continue east and move into the Watch area tonight. In addition to
the risk for a couple of tornadoes, severe gusts (60-70 mph) capable
of wind damage may accompany the more intense thunderstorm cores and
outflow surges in the squall line.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 30 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles west of Gulfport MS to 30
miles southeast of Mobile AL. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 250...WW 251...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 27035.
...Smith
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 252
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1050 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Alabama
Southern Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 1050 PM
until 300 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A severe squall line over southeast Louisiana will
continue east and move into the Watch area tonight. In addition to
the risk for a couple of tornadoes, severe gusts (60-70 mph) capable
of wind damage may accompany the more intense thunderstorm cores and
outflow surges in the squall line.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 30 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles west of Gulfport MS to 30
miles southeast of Mobile AL. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 250...WW 251...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 27035.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 252 TORNADO AL MS CW 170350Z - 170800Z
AXIS..30 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35W GPT/GULFPORT MS/ - 30SE MOB/MOBILE AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 25NM N/S /37NNE HRV - 32SE SJI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 30838966 30818789 29948789 29968966
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 252 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 252
VALID 170545Z - 170640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..05/17/24
ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 252
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC097-170640-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MOBILE
$$
MSC045-047-059-109-170640-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HANCOCK HARRISON JACKSON
PEARL RIVER
$$
GMZ532-536-557-630-631-632-650-170640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
CHANDELEUR SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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