Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 495
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
340 PM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western and Central North Dakota
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 340 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should strengthen through the afternoon as
they move generally east-northeastward across parts of western and
central North Dakota. Large hail around 1-2 inches in diameter
appears possible with the strongest cells initially. With time, a
line of thunderstorms should pose more of a wind threat, with peak
gusts up to 60-70 mph.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles east northeast
of Garrison ND to 60 miles south of Bismarck ND. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 494...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Gleason
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 495
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
340 PM CDT Mon Jul 1 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western and Central North Dakota
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 340 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should strengthen through the afternoon as
they move generally east-northeastward across parts of western and
central North Dakota. Large hail around 1-2 inches in diameter
appears possible with the strongest cells initially. With time, a
line of thunderstorms should pose more of a wind threat, with peak
gusts up to 60-70 mph.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles east northeast
of Garrison ND to 60 miles south of Bismarck ND. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 494...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 495 SEVERE TSTM ND 012040Z - 020200Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30ENE N60/GARRISON ND/ - 60S BIS/BISMARCK ND/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /32SE MOT - 52S BIS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 47809889 45909888 45900262 47800277
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 495 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 495
VALID 012350Z - 020040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW MBG
TO 45 W DVL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1507
..WEINMAN..07/01/24
ATTN...WFO...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 495
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NDC029-031-043-047-051-093-103-020040-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EMMONS FOSTER KIDDER
LOGAN MCINTOSH STUTSMAN
WELLS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 495
VALID 012235Z - 012340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW MBG
TO 30 NW BIS TO 25 SW MOT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION
..WEINMAN..07/01/24
ATTN...WFO...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 495
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NDC015-029-031-043-047-051-055-059-065-083-085-093-103-012340-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURLEIGH EMMONS FOSTER
KIDDER LOGAN MCINTOSH
MCLEAN MORTON OLIVER
SHERIDAN SIOUX STUTSMAN
WELLS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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