Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 481
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 PM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Kansas
West-Central Missouri
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 1030 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms will likely
continue east from eastern Kansas into west-central Missouri
tonight. Strong to severe gusts (55-65 mph) capable of wind damage
will be the primary hazard. Large hail (around 1 inch in diameter)
is possible with any stronger storms on the flank of the
larger-scale thunderstorm cluster.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35
statute miles north and south of a line from 90 miles west southwest
of Knob Noster MO to 45 miles east southeast of Knob Noster MO. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 480...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27025.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 481 SEVERE TSTM KS MO 290330Z - 290900Z
AXIS..35 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
90WSW SZL/KNOB NOSTER MO/ - 45ESE SZL/KNOB NOSTER MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 30NM N/S /28W BUM - 34SW COU/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
LAT...LON 38729508 38979278 37969278 37709508
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 481 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 481
VALID 290545Z - 290640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/29/24
ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 481
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC011-107-121-290640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON LINN MIAMI
$$
MOC013-015-029-037-039-083-085-101-141-159-185-217-290640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATES BENTON CAMDEN
CASS CEDAR HENRY
HICKORY JOHNSON MORGAN
PETTIS ST. CLAIR VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 481
VALID 290420Z - 290540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..06/29/24
ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 481
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC011-107-121-290540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON LINN MIAMI
$$
MOC013-015-029-037-039-083-085-101-141-159-185-217-290540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATES BENTON CAMDEN
CASS CEDAR HENRY
HICKORY JOHNSON MORGAN
PETTIS ST. CLAIR VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.