Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 471
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
850 PM EDT Wed Jun 26 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
District Of Columbia
Central and Eastern Maryland
Northern Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday night from 850 PM until Midnight EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible
SUMMARY...A broken linear cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms
will likely continue east across northern Virginia and adjacent
portions of Maryland through the late evening. Strong to locally
severe gusts (50-60 mph) capable of wind damage will be possible
with the stronger thunderstorms and outflow surges as this activity
moves east.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles south of
Martinsburg WV to 45 miles east of Baltimore MD. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 464...WW 467...WW
468...WW 469...WW 470...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 471 SEVERE TSTM DC MD VA CW 270050Z - 270400Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35S MRB/MARTINSBURG WV/ - 45E BWI/BALTIMORE MD/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /16NNW CSN - 48W SIE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..50 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 39547798 39837583 38537583 38247798
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 471 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 471
VALID 270245Z - 270340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW NHK
TO 20 ESE DCA TO 35 SSE CXY.
..GOSS..06/27/24
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 471
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC003-005-009-011-015-025-029-035-041-510-270340-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT
CAROLINE CECIL HARFORD
KENT QUEEN ANNE'S TALBOT
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
ANZ530-531-532-533-538-539-540-541-542-270340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD
EASTERN BAY
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 471
VALID 270150Z - 270240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S MRB TO
30 NW DCA TO 35 SSW CXY.
..GOSS..06/27/24
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 471
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DCC001-270240-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-025-027-029-031-033-035-041-510-
270240-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT
CAROLINE CARROLL CECIL
CHARLES HARFORD HOWARD
KENT MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES
QUEEN ANNE'S TALBOT
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
VAC013-047-059-061-099-107-137-153-157-177-179-510-600-610-630-
683-685-270240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARLINGTON CULPEPER FAIRFAX
FAUQUIER KING GEORGE LOUDOUN
ORANGE PRINCE WILLIAM RAPPAHANNOCK
SPOTSYLVANIA STAFFORD
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH
FREDERICKSBURG MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK
$$
ANZ530-531-532-533-535-536-538-539-540-541-542-270240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD
EASTERN BAY
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.