Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 465
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
Northeast Texas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 1245 PM
until 700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms will sag southward across the
watch area this afternoon. Hot and humid conditions ahead of the
storms will promote a risk of locally damaging wind gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles southwest of
Longview TX to 75 miles northeast of Natchitoches LA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 464...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
33025.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 465 SEVERE TSTM AR LA TX 261745Z - 270000Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40SW GGG/LONGVIEW TX/ - 75NE IER/NATCHITOCHES LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /35SW GGG - 8W MLU/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 33025.
LAT...LON 32689520 33239219 31789219 31259520
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 465 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 465
VALID 262035Z - 262140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S TYR TO
10 NE LFK TO 35 SW IER TO 15 NE IER TO 25 WSW MLU TO 35 N MLU.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1430
..HALBERT..06/26/24
ATTN...WFO...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 465
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC021-043-059-069-073-127-262140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL GRANT LA SALLE
NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA WINN
$$
TXC005-403-262140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA SABINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 465
VALID 261920Z - 262040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W TYR TO
25 SSW GGG TO 20 SSW SHV TO 30 ENE SHV TO 10 SW ELD TO 15 NE ELD.
..HALBERT..06/26/24
ATTN...WFO...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 465
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC139-262040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
UNION
$$
LAC013-021-027-031-043-049-059-061-069-073-081-085-111-127-
262040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE CALDWELL CLAIBORNE
DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON
LA SALLE LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES
OUACHITA RED RIVER SABINE
UNION WINN
$$
TXC005-073-347-403-405-419-262040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA CHEROKEE NACOGDOCHES
SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.