Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 107
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1005 PM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central Virginia
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 1005 PM
until 100 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
SUMMARY...A line of storms with a history of wind damage will spread
northeastward for the next 2-3 hours before weakening. A couple of
tornadoes will also be possible with embedded circulations in the
line.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 30 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles east northeast of
Charlottesville VA to 60 miles south southwest of Charlottesville
VA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 106...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 22040.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 107 TORNADO VA 120205Z - 120500Z
AXIS..30 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30ENE CHO/CHARLOTTESVILLE VA/ - 60SSW CHO/CHARLOTTESVILLE VA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 25NM E/W /21S CSN - 18ENE LYH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
LAT...LON 38297739 37337832 37337941 38297849
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 107 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 107
VALID 120250Z - 120340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..04/12/24
ATTN...WFO...LWX...AKQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 107
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
VAC003-007-047-049-065-075-079-109-111-113-117-135-137-145-147-
177-540-630-120340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE AMELIA CULPEPER
CUMBERLAND FLUVANNA GOOCHLAND
GREENE LOUISA LUNENBURG
MADISON MECKLENBURG NOTTOWAY
ORANGE POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD
SPOTSYLVANIA
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHARLOTTESVILLE FREDERICKSBURG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
