Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 189
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
340 PM CDT Sat May 6 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South-central Oklahoma
Central and Northern Texas
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 340 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
SUMMARY...Scattered intense thunderstorms are expected from late
afternoon into this evening. Very large hail to around 3 inches in
diameter and damaging gusts to 75 mph will be possible with these
storms as they track east/northeast.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles northwest of
Ardmore OK to 45 miles south southeast of Abilene TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23030.
...Leitman
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 189 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 062040Z - 070400Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30NW ADM/ARDMORE OK/ - 45SSE ABI/ABILENE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /26NNW ADM - 46SSE ABI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
LAT...LON 34599616 31819819 31810058 34599862
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 189 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 189
VALID 070255Z - 070340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..05/07/23
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 189
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC069-095-099-070340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JOHNSTON MARSHALL MURRAY
$$
TXC049-097-237-429-497-070340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN COOKE JACK
STEPHENS WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 189
VALID 070135Z - 070240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW ABI
TO 25 NW ABI.
..GOSS..05/07/23
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 189
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC015-019-031-033-049-051-067-069-085-095-099-137-070240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CARTER COMANCHE
COTTON GARVIN GRADY
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LOVE
MARSHALL MURRAY STEPHENS
$$
TXC009-035-049-059-077-083-093-097-133-143-193-207-221-237-253-
333-337-363-367-399-417-425-429-441-447-497-503-070240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BOSQUE BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COLEMAN
COMANCHE COOKE EASTLAND
ERATH HAMILTON HASKELL
HOOD JACK JONES
MILLS MONTAGUE PALO PINTO
PARKER RUNNELS SHACKELFORD
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 189
VALID 070030Z - 070140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..05/07/23
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 189
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-033-067-069-085-095-099-137-070140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER COTTON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON LOVE MARSHALL
MURRAY STEPHENS
$$
TXC009-023-049-059-077-081-083-093-097-133-143-151-207-221-237-
253-337-353-363-367-399-417-429-441-447-485-497-503-070140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COKE
COLEMAN COMANCHE COOKE
EASTLAND ERATH FISHER
HASKELL HOOD JACK
JONES MONTAGUE NOLAN
PALO PINTO PARKER RUNNELS
SHACKELFORD STEPHENS TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WICHITA WISE
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 189
VALID 062245Z - 062340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..05/06/23
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 189
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-033-067-069-085-095-099-137-062340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER COTTON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON LOVE MARSHALL
MURRAY STEPHENS
$$
TXC009-023-049-059-077-081-083-093-097-133-143-151-207-221-237-
253-337-353-363-367-399-417-429-441-447-485-497-503-062340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CLAY COKE
COLEMAN COMANCHE COOKE
EASTLAND ERATH FISHER
HASKELL HOOD JACK
JONES MONTAGUE NOLAN
PALO PINTO PARKER RUNNELS
SHACKELFORD STEPHENS TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WICHITA WISE
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.