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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 33
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM CST Wed Feb 15 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and eastern Oklahoma
North Texas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 345 PM
until 1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Supercell thunderstorms are expected to develop and
increase in coverage over the next couple of hours. These storms
will spread northeast with an attendant threat for large to very
large hail and damaging gusts. A tornado or two may be possible this
evening closer to the Red River.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles north northwest
of Mcalester OK to 15 miles southeast of Fort Worth TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Leitman/Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 33 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 152145Z - 160400Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50NNW MLC/MCALESTER OK/ - 15SE FTW/FORT WORTH TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /42SSW TUL - 14SSW TTT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 35549505 32669616 32669822 35549719
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 33 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 33
VALID 160240Z - 160340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE CHK
TO 35 SSE OKC TO 5 SSW CQB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 152
..THORNTON..02/16/23
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 33
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-029-049-061-063-067-069-077-085-091-095-099-
101-107-111-121-123-125-127-133-137-160340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL GARVIN
HASKELL HUGHES JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON LATIMER LOVE
MCINTOSH MARSHALL MURRAY
MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE
PITTSBURG PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE STEPHENS
$$
TXC077-085-097-113-119-121-147-181-231-237-277-337-367-397-439-
497-160340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY COLLIN COOKE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
FANNIN GRAYSON HUNT
JACK LAMAR MONTAGUE
PARKER ROCKWALL TARRANT
WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 33
VALID 160140Z - 160240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 152
..THORNTON..02/16/23
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 33
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-027-029-049-061-063-067-069-077-085-087-091-
095-099-101-107-111-121-123-125-127-133-137-160240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW CLEVELAND COAL
GARVIN HASKELL HUGHES
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LATIMER
LOVE MCCLAIN MCINTOSH
MARSHALL MURRAY MUSKOGEE
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA
SEMINOLE STEPHENS
$$
TXC077-085-097-113-119-121-147-181-231-237-277-337-367-397-439-
497-160240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY COLLIN COOKE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
FANNIN GRAYSON HUNT
JACK LAMAR MONTAGUE
PARKER ROCKWALL TARRANT
WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 33
VALID 160100Z - 160240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 152
..THORNTON..02/16/23
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 33
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-027-029-049-061-063-067-069-077-085-087-091-
095-099-101-107-111-121-123-125-127-133-137-160240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW CLEVELAND COAL
GARVIN HASKELL HUGHES
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LATIMER
LOVE MCCLAIN MCINTOSH
MARSHALL MURRAY MUSKOGEE
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA
SEMINOLE STEPHENS
$$
TXC077-085-097-113-119-121-147-181-231-237-277-337-367-397-439-
497-160240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY COLLIN COOKE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
FANNIN GRAYSON HUNT
JACK LAMAR MONTAGUE
PARKER ROCKWALL TARRANT
WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 33
VALID 152340Z - 160040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..02/15/23
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 33
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-027-029-049-061-063-067-069-077-085-087-091-
095-099-101-107-111-121-123-125-127-133-137-160040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW CLEVELAND COAL
GARVIN HASKELL HUGHES
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LATIMER
LOVE MCCLAIN MCINTOSH
MARSHALL MURRAY MUSKOGEE
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA
SEMINOLE STEPHENS
$$
TXC077-085-097-113-119-121-147-181-231-237-277-337-367-397-439-
497-160040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY COLLIN COOKE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
FANNIN GRAYSON HUNT
JACK LAMAR MONTAGUE
PARKER ROCKWALL TARRANT
WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 33
VALID 152235Z - 152340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..02/15/23
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 33
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-027-029-049-061-063-067-069-077-085-087-091-
095-099-101-107-111-121-123-125-127-133-137-152340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW CLEVELAND COAL
GARVIN HASKELL HUGHES
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LATIMER
LOVE MCCLAIN MCINTOSH
MARSHALL MURRAY MUSKOGEE
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA
SEMINOLE STEPHENS
$$
TXC077-085-097-113-119-121-147-181-231-237-277-337-367-397-439-
497-152340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY COLLIN COOKE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
FANNIN GRAYSON HUNT
JACK LAMAR MONTAGUE
PARKER ROCKWALL TARRANT
WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.