Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 154
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
630 PM CDT Sat May 8 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northeast Kansas
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 630 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
SUMMARY...Intense thunderstorms are expected to develop this evening
along a warm front over northeast Kansas and track across the watch
area. Very large hail and isolated tornadoes are the possible early
this evening, with an increasing risk of damaging winds with the
storms after dark.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles
north and south of a line from 15 miles southwest of Concordia KS to
30 miles east of Topeka KS. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 153...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 27035.
...Hart
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 154
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
630 PM CDT Sat May 8 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northeast Kansas
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 630 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
SUMMARY...Intense thunderstorms are expected to develop this evening
along a warm front over northeast Kansas and track across the watch
area. Very large hail and isolated tornadoes are the possible early
this evening, with an increasing risk of damaging winds with the
storms after dark.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles
north and south of a line from 15 miles southwest of Concordia KS to
30 miles east of Topeka KS. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 153...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 27035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 154 TORNADO KS 082330Z - 090600Z
AXIS..35 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15SW CNK/CONCORDIA KS/ - 30E TOP/TOPEKA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 30NM N/S /29NNW SLN - 20SW MCI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 39899785 39589506 38569506 38889785
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 154 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 154
VALID 090450Z - 090540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW CNK
TO 25 NE MHK TO 20 S FNB.
..BROYLES..05/09/21
ATTN...WFO...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC041-045-059-061-085-087-111-127-139-143-149-161-177-197-
090540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DICKINSON DOUGLAS FRANKLIN
GEARY JACKSON JEFFERSON
LYON MORRIS OSAGE
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RILEY
SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 154
VALID 090350Z - 090440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW SLN TO
20 N MHK TO 30 S BIE TO 35 WSW BIE.
..BROYLES..05/09/21
ATTN...WFO...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC041-045-059-061-085-087-111-127-139-143-149-161-177-197-
090440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DICKINSON DOUGLAS FRANKLIN
GEARY JACKSON JEFFERSON
LYON MORRIS OSAGE
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RILEY
SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 154
VALID 090130Z - 090240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/09/21
ATTN...WFO...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC027-029-041-045-059-061-085-087-127-139-143-149-157-161-177-
197-201-090240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON
DOUGLAS FRANKLIN GEARY
JACKSON JEFFERSON MORRIS
OSAGE OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE
REPUBLIC RILEY SHAWNEE
WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 154
VALID 090030Z - 090140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/09/21
ATTN...WFO...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC027-029-041-045-059-061-085-087-127-139-143-149-157-161-177-
197-201-090140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON
DOUGLAS FRANKLIN GEARY
JACKSON JEFFERSON MORRIS
OSAGE OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE
REPUBLIC RILEY SHAWNEE
WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
