Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 287
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1000 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern Arkansas
Northern Mississippi
Western Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 1000 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 80 mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A fast-moving convective line will continue to move
southeastward across eastern Arkansas into western Tennessee,
including the Memphis metro area. The most intense storms will favor
areas along and south/southwest of an arcing outflow boundary, with
widespread damaging winds a distinct possibility aside from some
line-embedded tornado risk. These storms will eventually move into
northern Mississippi overnight.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles south southwest of Jonesboro
AR to 50 miles northeast of Tupelo MS. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 279...WW 280...WW
281...WW 282...WW 284...WW 285...WW 286...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 30035.
...Guyer
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 287
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1000 PM CDT Sat May 27 2017
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern Arkansas
Northern Mississippi
Western Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 1000 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 80 mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A fast-moving convective line will continue to move
southeastward across eastern Arkansas into western Tennessee,
including the Memphis metro area. The most intense storms will favor
areas along and south/southwest of an arcing outflow boundary, with
widespread damaging winds a distinct possibility aside from some
line-embedded tornado risk. These storms will eventually move into
northern Mississippi overnight.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles south southwest of Jonesboro
AR to 50 miles northeast of Tupelo MS. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 279...WW 280...WW
281...WW 282...WW 284...WW 285...WW 286...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 30035.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 287 TORNADO AR MS TN 280300Z - 281000Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35SSW JBR/JONESBORO AR/ - 50NE TUP/TUPELO MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /45S ARG - 33W MSL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30035.
LAT...LON 36099088 35508815 34068815 34639088
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 287 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 287
VALID 280500Z - 280640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 889.
..MARSH..05/28/17
ATTN...WFO...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 287
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC035-077-123-280640-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRITTENDEN LEE ST. FRANCIS
$$
MSC003-009-033-057-071-081-093-107-115-117-137-139-141-143-145-
280640-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON DESOTO
ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE LEE
MARSHALL PANOLA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS TATE TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO TUNICA UNION
$$
TNC023-039-047-069-071-077-097-109-113-157-280640-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER DECATUR FAYETTE
HARDEMAN HARDIN HENDERSON
LAUDERDALE MCNAIRY MADISON
SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 287
VALID 280350Z - 280440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MARSH..05/28/17
ATTN...WFO...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 287
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC035-037-077-123-280440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRITTENDEN CROSS LEE
ST. FRANCIS
$$
MSC003-009-033-057-071-081-093-107-115-117-137-139-141-143-145-
280440-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON DESOTO
ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE LEE
MARSHALL PANOLA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS TATE TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO TUNICA UNION
$$
TNC023-033-039-047-069-071-075-077-097-109-113-157-167-280440-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER CROCKETT DECATUR
FAYETTE HARDEMAN HARDIN
HAYWOOD HENDERSON LAUDERDALE
MCNAIRY MADISON SHELBY
TIPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.