Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 11
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CST TUE FEB 2 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND WESTERN ALABAMA
PARTS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN KENTUCKY
MIDDLE TENNESSEE
* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY
ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN TENNESSEE AND MISSISSIPPI THIS
AFTERNOON...AND WILL CONTINUE SPREADING NORTHEAST WITH TIME. AS
SUCH...RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW POSSIBLE TORNADOES WILL
LIKEWISE INCREASE EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL KENTUCKY...MIDDLE
TENNESSEE...AND ALABAMA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES NORTHEAST OF BOWLING
GREEN KENTUCKY TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 9...WW 10...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.
...GOSS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 11 TORNADO AL KY TN 022110Z - 030400Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
80NE BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/ - 55SSW TCL/TUSCALOOSA AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /21SSE IIU - 42E MEI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.
LAT...LON 37778429 32478694 32478901 37778648
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 11 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 11
VALID 030225Z - 030340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW SDF
TO 50 ENE BWG TO 55 W LOZ TO 45 WSW LOZ AND 15 E CKV TO 50 NNE
CSV.
..COOK..02/03/16
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...LMK...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-009-021-033-043-047-049-057-059-063-065-071-073-075-077-
079-083-089-091-093-095-103-105-107-117-119-125-127-133-
030340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB BLOUNT CHILTON
COLBERT CULLMAN DALLAS
DEKALB FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GREENE HALE JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON
MARENGO MARION MARSHALL
MORGAN PERRY PICKENS
SHELBY SUMTER TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WINSTON
$$
TNC003-015-021-027-031-035-037-041-043-049-051-055-061-081-087-
099-101-103-111-117-119-127-133-137-141-147-149-159-165-169-175-
177-181-185-187-189-030340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CHEATHAM
CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND
DAVIDSON DE KALB DICKSON
FENTRESS FRANKLIN GILES
GRUNDY HICKMAN JACKSON
LAWRENCE LEWIS LINCOLN
MACON MARSHALL MAURY
MOORE OVERTON PICKETT
PUTNAM ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD
SMITH SUMNER TROUSDALE
VAN BUREN WARREN WAYNE
WHITE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 11
VALID 030135Z - 030240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW SDF
TO 50 ENE BWG TO 55 W LOZ TO 45 WSW LOZ.
..COOK..02/03/16
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...LMK...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-009-021-033-043-047-049-057-059-063-065-071-073-075-077-
079-083-089-091-093-095-103-105-107-117-119-125-127-133-
030240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB BLOUNT CHILTON
COLBERT CULLMAN DALLAS
DEKALB FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GREENE HALE JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON
MARENGO MARION MARSHALL
MORGAN PERRY PICKENS
SHELBY SUMTER TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WINSTON
$$
KYC003-009-027-031-053-057-061-085-091-099-141-169-171-183-213-
227-030240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN BRECKINRIDGE
BUTLER CLINTON CUMBERLAND
EDMONSON GRAYSON HANCOCK
HART LOGAN METCALFE
MONROE OHIO SIMPSON
WARREN
$$
TNC003-015-021-027-031-035-037-041-043-049-051-055-061-081-087-
099-101-103-111-117-119-127-133-137-141-147-149-159-165-169-175-
177-181-185-187-189-030240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CHEATHAM
CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND
DAVIDSON DE KALB DICKSON
FENTRESS FRANKLIN GILES
GRUNDY HICKMAN JACKSON
LAWRENCE LEWIS LINCOLN
MACON MARSHALL MAURY
MOORE OVERTON PICKETT
PUTNAM ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD
SMITH SUMNER TROUSDALE
VAN BUREN WARREN WAYNE
WHITE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 11
VALID 030055Z - 030140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW SDF
TO 50 ENE BWG TO 55 W LOZ TO 45 WSW LOZ.
..COOK..02/03/16
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...LMK...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-009-021-033-043-047-049-057-059-063-065-071-073-075-077-
079-083-089-091-093-095-103-105-107-117-119-125-127-133-
030140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB BLOUNT CHILTON
COLBERT CULLMAN DALLAS
DEKALB FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GREENE HALE JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON
MARENGO MARION MARSHALL
MORGAN PERRY PICKENS
SHELBY SUMTER TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WINSTON
$$
KYC003-009-027-031-053-057-061-085-091-099-141-169-171-183-213-
227-030140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN BRECKINRIDGE
BUTLER CLINTON CUMBERLAND
EDMONSON GRAYSON HANCOCK
HART LOGAN METCALFE
MONROE OHIO SIMPSON
WARREN
$$
TNC003-015-021-027-031-035-037-041-043-049-051-055-061-081-087-
099-101-103-111-117-119-127-133-137-141-147-149-159-165-169-175-
177-181-185-187-189-030140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CHEATHAM
CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND
DAVIDSON DE KALB DICKSON
FENTRESS FRANKLIN GILES
GRUNDY HICKMAN JACKSON
LAWRENCE LEWIS LINCOLN
MACON MARSHALL MAURY
MOORE OVERTON PICKETT
PUTNAM ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD
SMITH SUMNER TROUSDALE
VAN BUREN WARREN WAYNE
WHITE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 11
VALID 022335Z - 030040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 79
..COOK..02/02/16
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...LMK...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-009-021-033-043-047-049-057-059-063-065-071-073-075-077-
079-083-089-091-093-095-103-105-107-117-119-125-127-133-
030040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB BLOUNT CHILTON
COLBERT CULLMAN DALLAS
DEKALB FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GREENE HALE JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON
MARENGO MARION MARSHALL
MORGAN PERRY PICKENS
SHELBY SUMTER TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WINSTON
$$
KYC001-003-009-021-027-031-045-053-057-061-085-087-091-093-099-
123-137-141-155-163-167-169-171-179-183-207-213-217-227-229-
030040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN BARREN
BOYLE BRECKINRIDGE BUTLER
CASEY CLINTON CUMBERLAND
EDMONSON GRAYSON GREEN
HANCOCK HARDIN HART
LARUE LINCOLN LOGAN
MARION MEADE MERCER
METCALFE MONROE NELSON
OHIO RUSSELL SIMPSON
TAYLOR WARREN WASHINGTON
$$
TNC003-015-021-027-031-035-037-041-043-049-051-055-061-081-087-
099-101-103-111-117-119-127-133-137-141-147-149-159-165-169-175-
177-181-185-187-189-030040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CHEATHAM
CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND
DAVIDSON DE KALB DICKSON
FENTRESS FRANKLIN GILES
GRUNDY HICKMAN JACKSON
LAWRENCE LEWIS LINCOLN
MACON MARSHALL MAURY
MOORE OVERTON PICKETT
PUTNAM ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD
SMITH SUMNER TROUSDALE
VAN BUREN WARREN WAYNE
WHITE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 11
VALID 022240Z - 022340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COOK..02/02/16
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...LMK...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 11
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-009-021-033-043-047-049-057-059-063-065-071-073-075-077-
079-083-089-091-093-095-103-105-107-117-119-125-127-133-
022340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB BLOUNT CHILTON
COLBERT CULLMAN DALLAS
DEKALB FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GREENE HALE JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON
MARENGO MARION MARSHALL
MORGAN PERRY PICKENS
SHELBY SUMTER TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WINSTON
$$
KYC001-003-009-021-027-031-045-053-057-061-085-087-091-093-099-
123-137-141-155-163-167-169-171-179-183-207-213-217-227-229-
022340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN BARREN
BOYLE BRECKINRIDGE BUTLER
CASEY CLINTON CUMBERLAND
EDMONSON GRAYSON GREEN
HANCOCK HARDIN HART
LARUE LINCOLN LOGAN
MARION MEADE MERCER
METCALFE MONROE NELSON
OHIO RUSSELL SIMPSON
TAYLOR WARREN WASHINGTON
$$
TNC003-015-021-027-031-035-037-041-043-049-051-055-061-081-087-
099-101-103-111-117-119-127-133-137-141-147-149-159-165-169-175-
177-181-185-187-189-022340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CHEATHAM
CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND
DAVIDSON DE KALB DICKSON
FENTRESS FRANKLIN GILES
GRUNDY HICKMAN JACKSON
LAWRENCE LEWIS LINCOLN
MACON MARSHALL MAURY
MOORE OVERTON PICKETT
PUTNAM ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD
SMITH SUMNER TROUSDALE
VAN BUREN WARREN WAYNE
WHITE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.