Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 424
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
400 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN ALABAMA
NORTHERN GEORGIA
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 400 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER TN AND EASTERN AR WILL SAG
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...POSING A THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS
AND HAIL THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST OF
OXFORD MISSISSIPPI TO 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSON SOUTH
CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 421...WW 422...WW 423...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 30025.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 424 SEVERE TSTM AL GA MS NC SC 142100Z - 150300Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40W UOX/OXFORD MS/ - 5SE AND/ANDERSON SC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM N/S /43SSW MEM - 35ESE ODF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30025.
LAT...LON 34959023 35028266 33868266 33799023
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 424 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 424
VALID 150225Z - 150300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW ANB TO
10 NNE ANB TO 30 SSW RMG TO 25 NW ATL TO 15 NE ATL TO 20 SW AHN
TO 35 ESE AHN TO 30 NW AGS.
WW 424 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 150300Z.
..COOK..07/15/15
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...GSP...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 424
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC015-019-029-150300-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CHEROKEE CLEBURNE
$$
GAC013-015-045-057-059-063-067-077-089-097-113-115-117-121-135-
143-149-151-157-195-211-217-219-221-223-233-247-297-313-317-
150300-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARROW BARTOW CARROLL
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB COWETA DEKALB
DOUGLAS FAYETTE FLOYD
FORSYTH FULTON GWINNETT
HARALSON HEARD HENRY
JACKSON MADISON MORGAN
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PAULDING POLK ROCKDALE
WALTON WHITFIELD WILKES
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 424
VALID 150150Z - 150240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW TCL
TO 25 WSW BHM TO 10 ESE BHM TO 15 S GAD TO 15 ENE GAD TO 20 WSW
RMG TO 15 SSE RMG TO 30 NNE ATL TO 10 E AHN TO 40 ESE AHN TO 40
NW AGS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1425
..COOK..07/15/15
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...GSP...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 424
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC015-019-029-150240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CHEROKEE CLEBURNE
$$
GAC013-015-045-057-059-063-067-077-089-097-105-113-115-117-119-
121-135-137-143-147-149-151-157-195-211-217-219-221-223-233-241-
247-257-297-313-317-150240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARROW BARTOW CARROLL
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB COWETA DEKALB
DOUGLAS ELBERT FAYETTE
FLOYD FORSYTH FRANKLIN
FULTON GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HARALSON HART HEARD
HENRY JACKSON MADISON
MORGAN NEWTON OCONEE
OGLETHORPE PAULDING POLK
RABUN ROCKDALE STEPHENS
WALTON WHITFIELD WILKES
$$
SCC001-007-073-077-150240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON OCONEE
PICKENS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 424
VALID 150035Z - 150140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW CBM
TO 45 NE CBM TO 40 SSE MSL TO 20 E HSV TO 40 WSW CHA TO 20 NNE
RMG TO 55 NW AHN TO 25 WSW AND TO 15 SSE AND TO 30 ESE AND.
..COOK..07/15/15
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...GSP...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 424
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC009-015-019-029-033-043-049-055-057-059-071-073-075-077-079-
083-089-093-095-103-115-127-133-150140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT CALHOUN CHEROKEE
CLEBURNE COLBERT CULLMAN
DEKALB ETOWAH FAYETTE
FRANKLIN JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MORGAN ST. CLAIR
WALKER WINSTON
$$
GAC011-013-015-045-047-055-057-059-063-067-077-083-085-089-097-
105-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-129-135-137-139-143-147-149-151-
157-187-195-211-213-217-219-221-223-227-233-241-247-257-281-291-
295-297-311-313-317-150140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BARTOW
CARROLL CATOOSA CHATTOOGA
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB COWETA DADE
DAWSON DEKALB DOUGLAS
ELBERT FANNIN FAYETTE
FLOYD FORSYTH FRANKLIN
FULTON GILMER GORDON
GWINNETT HABERSHAM HALL
HARALSON HART HEARD
HENRY JACKSON LUMPKIN
MADISON MORGAN MURRAY
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PAULDING PICKENS POLK
RABUN ROCKDALE STEPHENS
TOWNS UNION WALKER
WALTON WHITE WHITFIELD
WILKES
$$
MSC003-013-017-057-071-081-095-107-115-117-139-141-145-161-
150140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN CALHOUN CHICKASAW
ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE LEE
MONROE PANOLA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
UNION YALOBUSHA
$$
SCC001-007-073-077-150140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON OCONEE
PICKENS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 424
VALID 142345Z - 150040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW MEM
TO 25 ENE UOX TO 35 NE TUP TO 10 NNW MSL TO 40 NE MSL.
..COOK..07/14/15
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...GSP...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 424
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC009-015-019-029-033-043-049-055-057-059-071-073-075-077-079-
083-089-093-095-103-115-127-133-150040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT CALHOUN CHEROKEE
CLEBURNE COLBERT CULLMAN
DEKALB ETOWAH FAYETTE
FRANKLIN JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MORGAN ST. CLAIR
WALKER WINSTON
$$
GAC011-013-015-045-047-055-057-059-063-067-077-083-085-089-097-
105-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-129-135-137-139-143-147-149-151-
157-187-195-211-213-217-219-221-223-227-233-241-247-257-281-291-
295-297-311-313-317-150040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BARTOW
CARROLL CATOOSA CHATTOOGA
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB COWETA DADE
DAWSON DEKALB DOUGLAS
ELBERT FANNIN FAYETTE
FLOYD FORSYTH FRANKLIN
FULTON GILMER GORDON
GWINNETT HABERSHAM HALL
HARALSON HART HEARD
HENRY JACKSON LUMPKIN
MADISON MORGAN MURRAY
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PAULDING PICKENS POLK
RABUN ROCKDALE STEPHENS
TOWNS UNION WALKER
WALTON WHITE WHITFIELD
WILKES
$$
MSC003-013-017-057-071-081-095-107-115-117-139-141-145-161-
150040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN CALHOUN CHICKASAW
ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE LEE
MONROE PANOLA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
UNION YALOBUSHA
$$
NCC075-099-113-173-175-150040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GRAHAM JACKSON MACON
SWAIN TRANSYLVANIA
$$
SCC001-007-073-077-150040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON OCONEE
PICKENS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 424
VALID 142230Z - 142340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1420
..COOK..07/14/15
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...GSP...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 424
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC009-015-019-029-033-043-049-055-057-059-071-073-075-077-079-
083-089-093-095-103-115-127-133-142340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT CALHOUN CHEROKEE
CLEBURNE COLBERT CULLMAN
DEKALB ETOWAH FAYETTE
FRANKLIN JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MORGAN ST. CLAIR
WALKER WINSTON
$$
GAC011-013-015-045-047-055-057-059-063-067-077-083-085-089-097-
105-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-129-135-137-139-143-147-149-151-
157-187-195-211-213-217-219-221-223-227-233-241-247-257-281-291-
295-297-311-313-317-142340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BARTOW
CARROLL CATOOSA CHATTOOGA
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB COWETA DADE
DAWSON DEKALB DOUGLAS
ELBERT FANNIN FAYETTE
FLOYD FORSYTH FRANKLIN
FULTON GILMER GORDON
GWINNETT HABERSHAM HALL
HARALSON HART HEARD
HENRY JACKSON LUMPKIN
MADISON MORGAN MURRAY
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PAULDING PICKENS POLK
RABUN ROCKDALE STEPHENS
TOWNS UNION WALKER
WALTON WHITE WHITFIELD
WILKES
$$
MSC003-009-013-017-033-057-071-081-093-095-107-115-117-137-139-
141-145-161-142340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON CALHOUN
CHICKASAW DESOTO ITAWAMBA
LAFAYETTE LEE MARSHALL
MONROE PANOLA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS TATE TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO UNION YALOBUSHA
$$
NCC075-099-113-173-175-142340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GRAHAM JACKSON MACON
SWAIN TRANSYLVANIA
$$
SCC001-007-073-077-142340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON OCONEE
PICKENS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 424
VALID 142145Z - 142240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COOK..07/14/15
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...GSP...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 424
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC009-015-019-029-033-043-049-055-057-059-071-073-075-077-079-
083-089-093-095-103-115-127-133-142240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT CALHOUN CHEROKEE
CLEBURNE COLBERT CULLMAN
DEKALB ETOWAH FAYETTE
FRANKLIN JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MORGAN ST. CLAIR
WALKER WINSTON
$$
GAC011-013-015-045-047-055-057-059-063-067-077-083-085-089-097-
105-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-129-135-137-139-143-147-149-151-
157-187-195-211-213-217-219-221-223-227-233-241-247-257-281-291-
295-297-311-313-317-142240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BARTOW
CARROLL CATOOSA CHATTOOGA
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB COWETA DADE
DAWSON DEKALB DOUGLAS
ELBERT FANNIN FAYETTE
FLOYD FORSYTH FRANKLIN
FULTON GILMER GORDON
GWINNETT HABERSHAM HALL
HARALSON HART HEARD
HENRY JACKSON LUMPKIN
MADISON MORGAN MURRAY
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PAULDING PICKENS POLK
RABUN ROCKDALE STEPHENS
TOWNS UNION WALKER
WALTON WHITE WHITFIELD
WILKES
$$
MSC003-009-013-017-033-057-071-081-093-095-107-115-117-137-139-
141-145-161-142240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON CALHOUN
CHICKASAW DESOTO ITAWAMBA
LAFAYETTE LEE MARSHALL
MONROE PANOLA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS TATE TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO UNION YALOBUSHA
$$
NCC075-099-113-173-175-142240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GRAHAM JACKSON MACON
SWAIN TRANSYLVANIA
$$
SCC001-007-073-077-142240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE ANDERSON OCONEE
PICKENS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.