Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 149
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 AM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN COLORADO
WESTERN KANSAS
FAR SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1155 AM UNTIL
900 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...SCATTERED SUPERCELLS AND BROKEN LINES OF SUSTAINED STORMS
WITH A THREAT FOR SEVERE HAIL AND TORNADOES EXPECTED TO MOVE /
DEVELOP GRADUALLY NNE ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THROUGH
MID-EVENING.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
AKRON COLORADO TO 35 MILES WEST OF LIBERAL KANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 148...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 20030.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 149 TORNADO CO KS NE 091755Z - 100300Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55NNE AKO/AKRON CO/ - 35W LBL/LIBERAL KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /13SSE SNY - 30W LBL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 20030.
LAT...LON 40900127 37020015 37020305 40900434
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 149 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 149
VALID 100240Z - 100300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM LBL TO 15
ENE ITR TO 25 WSW MCK.
..LEITMAN..05/10/15
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC025-039-055-057-063-065-069-081-083-093-101-109-119-135-137-
153-171-175-179-181-193-195-199-203-100300-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK DECATUR FINNEY
FORD GOVE GRAHAM
GRAY HASKELL HODGEMAN
KEARNY LANE LOGAN
MEADE NESS NORTON
RAWLINS SCOTT SEWARD
SHERIDAN SHERMAN THOMAS
TREGO WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NEC145-100300-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 149
VALID 100130Z - 100240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W LBL TO
45 SSE ITR TO 10 E ITR TO 30 WSW MCK.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 575.
..LEITMAN..05/10/15
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC025-039-055-057-063-065-067-069-071-075-081-083-093-101-109-
119-135-137-153-171-175-179-181-189-193-195-199-203-100240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK DECATUR FINNEY
FORD GOVE GRAHAM
GRANT GRAY GREELEY
HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN
KEARNY LANE LOGAN
MEADE NESS NORTON
RAWLINS SCOTT SEWARD
SHERIDAN SHERMAN STEVENS
THOMAS TREGO WALLACE
WICHITA
$$
NEC145-100240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 149
VALID 100020Z - 100140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 ENE EHA TO
10 NNE LAA TO 30 S LIC TO 20 E AKO TO 30 ESE IML.
..LEITMAN..05/10/15
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC017-061-063-073-099-125-100140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE KIOWA KIT CARSON
LINCOLN PROWERS YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-055-063-067-069-071-075-081-093-101-109-119-129-153-
171-175-179-181-187-189-193-199-203-100140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR FINNEY
GOVE GRANT GRAY
GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL
KEARNY LANE LOGAN
MEADE MORTON RAWLINS
SCOTT SEWARD SHERIDAN
SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS
THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NEC057-087-145-100140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 149
VALID 092325Z - 100040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE SPD TO
20 SW LAA TO 35 N LHX.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 571.
..LEITMAN..05/09/15
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC017-039-041-061-063-073-075-087-095-099-101-115-121-125-
100040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE ELBERT EL PASO
KIOWA KIT CARSON LINCOLN
LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS
PROWERS PUEBLO SEDGWICK
WASHINGTON YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-055-063-067-069-071-075-081-093-101-109-119-129-153-
171-175-179-181-187-189-193-199-203-100040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR FINNEY
GOVE GRANT GRAY
GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL
KEARNY LANE LOGAN
MEADE MORTON RAWLINS
SCOTT SEWARD SHERIDAN
SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS
THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NEC057-087-145-100040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 149
VALID 092235Z - 092340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..05/09/15
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-025-039-061-063-073-075-087-089-095-099-115-121-
125-092340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
CROWLEY ELBERT KIOWA
KIT CARSON LINCOLN LOGAN
MORGAN OTERO PHILLIPS
PROWERS SEDGWICK WASHINGTON
YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-055-063-067-069-071-075-081-093-101-109-119-129-153-
171-175-179-181-187-189-193-199-203-092340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR FINNEY
GOVE GRANT GRAY
GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL
KEARNY LANE LOGAN
MEADE MORTON RAWLINS
SCOTT SEWARD SHERIDAN
SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS
THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA
$$
NEC057-087-145-092340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.