Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 78
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
755 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN ALABAMA
FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHWESTERN THROUGH CENTRAL GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 755 AM UNTIL
300 PM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING HOURS AND SPREAD
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...BRINGING A RISK OF DAMAGING
WIND...A FEW TORNADOES...AND ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL. SEE SPC
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 374 FOR INITIAL METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PANAMA
CITY FLORIDA TO 55 MILES NORTHWEST OF MACON GEORGIA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...EDWARDS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 78 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 191155Z - 191900Z
AXIS..105 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35SW PFN/PANAMA CITY FL/ - 55NW MCN/MACON GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 90NM E/W /66SSE CEW - 23SSE ATL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 29858784 33258613 33258251 29858433
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 78 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 78
VALID 191820Z - 191900Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE AAF
TO 50 NE MCN.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 78 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
19/19Z.
..KERR..04/19/15
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 78
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC037-039-065-073-077-129-191900-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN GADSDEN JEFFERSON
LEON LIBERTY WAKULLA
$$
GAC009-011-013-017-019-021-023-027-035-057-059-063-067-071-075-
079-081-085-087-089-091-093-095-113-117-121-125-131-133-135-139-
141-151-153-155-157-159-163-167-169-171-175-177-193-195-197-205-
207-211-217-219-225-227-231-235-237-247-249-255-259-261-263-265-
269-275-277-287-289-293-297-301-303-307-315-317-319-321-
191900-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
BEN HILL BERRIEN BIBB
BLECKLEY BROOKS BUTTS
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB COLQUITT COOK
CRAWFORD CRISP DAWSON
DECATUR DEKALB DODGE
DOOLY DOUGHERTY FAYETTE
FORSYTH FULTON GLASCOCK
GRADY GREENE GWINNETT
HALL HANCOCK HENRY
HOUSTON IRWIN JACKSON
JASPER JEFFERSON JOHNSON
JONES LAMAR LAURENS
LEE MACON MADISON
MARION MITCHELL MONROE
MORGAN NEWTON OCONEE
PEACH PICKENS PIKE
PULASKI PUTNAM ROCKDALE
SCHLEY SPALDING STEWART
SUMTER TALBOT TALIAFERRO
TAYLOR THOMAS TIFT
TURNER TWIGGS UPSON
WALTON WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WILCOX WILKES
WILKINSON WORTH
$$
GMZ633-755-191900-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PERDIDO BAY AREA
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 78
VALID 191640Z - 191740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW PFN TO
30 SSE ATL.
..KERR..04/19/15
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 78
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC037-039-065-073-077-129-191740-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN GADSDEN JEFFERSON
LEON LIBERTY WAKULLA
$$
GAC009-011-013-017-019-021-023-027-035-045-053-057-059-063-067-
071-075-077-079-081-085-087-089-091-093-095-097-113-117-121-125-
131-133-135-139-141-145-149-151-153-155-157-159-163-167-169-171-
175-177-193-195-197-199-205-207-211-215-217-219-223-225-227-231-
235-237-247-249-255-259-261-263-265-269-275-277-285-287-289-293-
297-301-303-307-315-317-319-321-191740-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
BEN HILL BERRIEN BIBB
BLECKLEY BROOKS BUTTS
CARROLL CHATTAHOOCHEE CHEROKEE
CLARKE CLAYTON COBB
COLQUITT COOK COWETA
CRAWFORD CRISP DAWSON
DECATUR DEKALB DODGE
DOOLY DOUGHERTY DOUGLAS
FAYETTE FORSYTH FULTON
GLASCOCK GRADY GREENE
GWINNETT HALL HANCOCK
HARRIS HEARD HENRY
HOUSTON IRWIN JACKSON
JASPER JEFFERSON JOHNSON
JONES LAMAR LAURENS
LEE MACON MADISON
MARION MERIWETHER MITCHELL
MONROE MORGAN MUSCOGEE
NEWTON OCONEE PAULDING
PEACH PICKENS PIKE
PULASKI PUTNAM ROCKDALE
SCHLEY SPALDING STEWART
SUMTER TALBOT TALIAFERRO
TAYLOR THOMAS TIFT
TROUP TURNER TWIGGS
UPSON WALTON WARREN
WASHINGTON WEBSTER WILCOX
WILKES WILKINSON WORTH
$$
GMZ633-755-191740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PERDIDO BAY AREA
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 78
VALID 191545Z - 191640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WSW PFN
TO 20 NNE LGC.
..KERR..04/19/15
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 78
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC037-039-045-065-073-077-129-191640-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF
JEFFERSON LEON LIBERTY
WAKULLA
$$
GAC007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-027-035-037-045-053-055-
057-059-061-063-067-071-075-077-079-081-085-087-089-091-093-095-
097-099-113-115-117-121-125-129-131-133-135-139-141-143-145-149-
151-153-155-157-159-163-167-169-171-175-177-193-195-197-199-201-
205-207-211-215-217-219-223-225-227-231-233-235-237-239-243-247-
249-253-255-259-261-263-265-269-273-275-277-285-287-289-293-297-
301-303-307-315-317-319-321-191640-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BALDWIN BANKS
BARROW BARTOW BEN HILL
BERRIEN BIBB BLECKLEY
BROOKS BUTTS CALHOUN
CARROLL CHATTAHOOCHEE CHATTOOGA
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAY
CLAYTON COBB COLQUITT
COOK COWETA CRAWFORD
CRISP DAWSON DECATUR
DEKALB DODGE DOOLY
DOUGHERTY DOUGLAS EARLY
FAYETTE FLOYD FORSYTH
FULTON GLASCOCK GORDON
GRADY GREENE GWINNETT
HALL HANCOCK HARALSON
HARRIS HEARD HENRY
HOUSTON IRWIN JACKSON
JASPER JEFFERSON JOHNSON
JONES LAMAR LAURENS
LEE MACON MADISON
MARION MERIWETHER MILLER
MITCHELL MONROE MORGAN
MUSCOGEE NEWTON OCONEE
PAULDING PEACH PICKENS
PIKE POLK PULASKI
PUTNAM QUITMAN RANDOLPH
ROCKDALE SCHLEY SEMINOLE
SPALDING STEWART SUMTER
TALBOT TALIAFERRO TAYLOR
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TROUP TURNER TWIGGS
UPSON WALTON WARREN
WASHINGTON WEBSTER WILCOX
WILKES WILKINSON WORTH
$$
GMZ633-750-755-191640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PERDIDO BAY AREA
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 78
VALID 191445Z - 191540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/19/15
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 78
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-017-027-031-045-051-061-067-069-081-087-101-109-111-
113-123-191540-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK CHAMBERS
CLAY COFFEE DALE
ELMORE GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON LEE MACON
MONTGOMERY PIKE RANDOLPH
RUSSELL TALLAPOOSA
$$
FLC005-013-037-039-045-059-063-065-073-077-091-113-129-131-133-
191540-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN FRANKLIN
GADSDEN GULF HOLMES
JACKSON JEFFERSON LEON
LIBERTY OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
WAKULLA WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-009-017-019-021-023-027-035-037-045-053-061-063-067-071-
075-077-079-081-087-089-091-093-095-097-099-113-121-131-141-143-
145-149-151-153-155-159-167-169-171-175-177-193-197-199-201-205-
207-215-217-223-225-231-233-235-237-239-243-247-249-253-255-259-
261-263-269-273-275-277-285-287-289-293-303-307-315-319-321-
191540-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BALDWIN BEN HILL
BERRIEN BIBB BLECKLEY
BROOKS BUTTS CALHOUN
CARROLL CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAY
CLAYTON COBB COLQUITT
COOK COWETA CRAWFORD
CRISP DECATUR DEKALB
DODGE DOOLY DOUGHERTY
DOUGLAS EARLY FAYETTE
FULTON GRADY HANCOCK
HARALSON HARRIS HEARD
HENRY HOUSTON IRWIN
JASPER JOHNSON JONES
LAMAR LAURENS LEE
MACON MARION MERIWETHER
MILLER MITCHELL MONROE
MUSCOGEE NEWTON PAULDING
PEACH PIKE POLK
PULASKI PUTNAM QUITMAN
RANDOLPH ROCKDALE SCHLEY
SEMINOLE SPALDING STEWART
SUMTER TALBOT TAYLOR
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TROUP TURNER TWIGGS
UPSON WASHINGTON WEBSTER
WILCOX WILKINSON WORTH
$$
GMZ633-634-635-655-750-755-191540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA
CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 78
VALID 191355Z - 191440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/19/15
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 78
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-017-027-031-039-041-045-051-053-061-067-069-081-087-
101-109-111-113-123-191440-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK CHAMBERS
CLAY COFFEE COVINGTON
CRENSHAW DALE ELMORE
ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY
HOUSTON LEE MACON
MONTGOMERY PIKE RANDOLPH
RUSSELL TALLAPOOSA
$$
FLC005-013-033-037-039-045-059-063-065-073-077-091-113-129-131-
133-191440-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
FRANKLIN GADSDEN GULF
HOLMES JACKSON JEFFERSON
LEON LIBERTY OKALOOSA
SANTA ROSA WAKULLA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-009-017-019-021-023-027-035-037-045-053-061-063-067-071-
075-077-079-081-087-089-091-093-095-097-099-113-121-131-141-143-
145-149-151-153-155-159-167-169-171-175-177-193-197-199-201-205-
207-215-217-223-225-231-233-235-237-239-243-247-249-253-255-259-
261-263-269-273-275-277-285-287-289-293-303-307-315-319-321-
191440-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER BALDWIN BEN HILL
BERRIEN BIBB BLECKLEY
BROOKS BUTTS CALHOUN
CARROLL CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAY
CLAYTON COBB COLQUITT
COOK COWETA CRAWFORD
CRISP DECATUR DEKALB
DODGE DOOLY DOUGHERTY
DOUGLAS EARLY FAYETTE
FULTON GRADY HANCOCK
HARALSON HARRIS HEARD
HENRY HOUSTON IRWIN
JASPER JOHNSON JONES
LAMAR LAURENS LEE
MACON MARION MERIWETHER
MILLER MITCHELL MONROE
MUSCOGEE NEWTON PAULDING
PEACH PIKE POLK
PULASKI PUTNAM QUITMAN
RANDOLPH ROCKDALE SCHLEY
SEMINOLE SPALDING STEWART
SUMTER TALBOT TAYLOR
TERRELL THOMAS TIFT
TROUP TURNER TWIGGS
UPSON WASHINGTON WEBSTER
WILCOX WILKINSON WORTH
$$
GMZ633-634-635-650-655-750-755-191440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA
CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.