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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 201
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
130 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN IOWA
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA
FAR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 130 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF YANKTON SOUTH DAKOTA TO 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CONCORDIA KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE INTENSIFYING ALONG THE SRN FLANK OF A
PERSISTENT MCS OVER NEBRASKA....WITH NEW STORMS DEVELOPING EAST OF
THE COMPLEX. THE ENVIRONMENT SOUTH AND EAST OF THE SYSTEM IS
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE TO 2000 J/KG...AND STRENGTHENING
WINDS ALOFT ARE CONTRIBUTING TO FAVORABLE VERTICAL FOR SEVERE
STORMS. ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD EWD WITH TIME WITH POTENTIAL FOR
PRIMARILY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26025.
...WEISS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 201 SEVERE TSTM IA KS NE SD 011830Z - 020300Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50ENE YKN/YANKTON SD/ - 40SW CNK/CONCORDIA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /31SSE FSD - 29WNW SLN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.
LAT...LON 43189487 39119669 39119966 43189805
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 201 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 201
VALID 020045Z - 020140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE RSL TO
30 E BIE.
..MOSIER..06/02/14
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...TOP...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 201
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC013-027-041-061-085-087-117-127-131-143-149-161-177-197-201-
020140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLAY DICKINSON
GEARY JACKSON JEFFERSON
MARSHALL MORRIS NEMAHA
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RILEY
SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
$$
NEC127-147-020140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
NEMAHA RICHARDSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 201
VALID 012350Z - 020040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE HLC TO
50 WNW CNK TO 40 W BIE TO 20 S OMA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 781
..MOSIER..06/01/14
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...TOP...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 201
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC027-029-041-061-089-117-123-141-143-157-161-163-201-020040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON
GEARY JEWELL MARSHALL
MITCHELL OSBORNE OTTAWA
REPUBLIC RILEY ROOKS
WASHINGTON
$$
NEC067-095-097-127-131-133-147-020040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON
NEMAHA OTOE PAWNEE
RICHARDSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 201
VALID 012240Z - 012340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE HLC
TO 15 S HSI TO 30 ESE OLU TO 10 NW TQE TO 5 ENE SPW.
..MOSIER..06/01/14
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...TOP...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 201
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-085-093-129-133-155-165-012340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA HARRISON IDA
MILLS MONONA POTTAWATTAMIE
SHELBY
$$
KSC027-029-041-061-089-117-123-141-143-147-157-161-163-183-201-
012340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON
GEARY JEWELL MARSHALL
MITCHELL OSBORNE OTTAWA
PHILLIPS REPUBLIC RILEY
ROOKS SMITH WASHINGTON
$$
NEC021-025-035-055-059-067-095-097-109-129-131-133-151-153-155-
159-169-177-181-185-012340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURT CASS CLAY
DOUGLAS FILLMORE GAGE
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANCASTER
NUCKOLLS OTOE PAWNEE
SALINE SARPY SAUNDERS
SEWARD THAYER WASHINGTON
WEBSTER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 201
VALID 012045Z - 012140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W EAR TO
10 NNW EAR TO 15 NNE GRI TO 15 W OLU TO 15 SSE OFK TO 30 NE OFK
TO 20 WNW SUX TO 30 E YKN TO 20 NE YKN TO 30 N YKN TO 15 SE MHE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 778
..DEAN..06/01/14
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...TOP...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 201
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-059-085-093-119-129-133-141-143-149-155-167-193-
012140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
DICKINSON HARRISON IDA
LYON MILLS MONONA
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH
POTTAWATTAMIE SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
KSC027-029-041-061-089-117-123-141-143-147-157-161-163-183-201-
012140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON
GEARY JEWELL MARSHALL
MITCHELL OSBORNE OTTAWA
PHILLIPS REPUBLIC RILEY
ROOKS SMITH WASHINGTON
$$
NEC001-019-021-023-025-035-037-039-043-051-053-055-059-061-065-
067-073-079-081-083-093-095-097-099-109-121-125-129-131-133-137-
141-143-151-153-155-159-167-169-173-177-179-181-185-012140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUFFALO BURT
BUTLER CASS CLAY
COLFAX CUMING DAKOTA
DIXON DODGE DOUGLAS
FILLMORE FRANKLIN FURNAS
GAGE GOSPER HALL
HAMILTON HARLAN HOWARD
JEFFERSON JOHNSON KEARNEY
LANCASTER MERRICK NANCE
NUCKOLLS OTOE PAWNEE
PHELPS PLATTE POLK
SALINE SARPY SAUNDERS
SEWARD STANTON THAYER
THURSTON WASHINGTON WAYNE
WEBSTER YORK
$$
SDC027-067-083-125-127-012140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY HUTCHINSON LINCOLN
TURNER UNION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 201
VALID 011930Z - 012040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DEAN..06/01/14
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...TOP...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 201
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-059-085-093-119-129-133-141-143-149-155-167-193-
012040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
DICKINSON HARRISON IDA
LYON MILLS MONONA
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH
POTTAWATTAMIE SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
KSC027-029-041-061-089-117-123-141-143-147-157-161-163-183-201-
012040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON
GEARY JEWELL MARSHALL
MITCHELL OSBORNE OTTAWA
PHILLIPS REPUBLIC RILEY
ROOKS SMITH WASHINGTON
$$
NEC001-003-011-019-021-023-025-027-035-037-039-043-047-051-053-
055-059-061-065-067-073-077-079-081-083-093-095-097-099-107-109-
119-121-125-129-131-133-137-139-141-143-151-153-155-159-163-167-
169-173-175-177-179-181-185-012040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BOONE
BUFFALO BURT BUTLER
CASS CEDAR CLAY
COLFAX CUMING DAKOTA
DAWSON DIXON DODGE
DOUGLAS FILLMORE FRANKLIN
FURNAS GAGE GOSPER
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOWARD JEFFERSON
JOHNSON KEARNEY KNOX
LANCASTER MADISON MERRICK
NANCE NUCKOLLS OTOE
PAWNEE PHELPS PIERCE
PLATTE POLK SALINE
SARPY SAUNDERS SEWARD
SHERMAN STANTON THAYER
THURSTON VALLEY WASHINGTON
WAYNE WEBSTER YORK
$$
SDC009-027-067-083-125-127-135-012040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BON HOMME CLAY HUTCHINSON
LINCOLN TURNER UNION
YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.