Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 262
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
330 PM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON FROM 330 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY
NUMEROUS VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
NUMEROUS DAMAGING WIND GUSTS LIKELY WITH SEVERAL SIGNIFICANT
GUSTS TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
BARTLESVILLE OKLAHOMA TO 30 MILES EAST OF WICHITA FALLS TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 260...WW 261...
DISCUSSION...AN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS
MUCH OF CENTRAL/EASTERN OK THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT
IN RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ALONG THE DRYLINE OVER WEST-CENTRAL OK...AND ALONG A WEAK
BOUNDARY EXTENDING NORTHEASTWARD INTO NORTHEAST OK. DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF EXTREMELY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING TORNADOES
ARE POSSIBLE. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME AN INCREASING THREAT
THROUGH THE EVENING.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 262 TORNADO OK 312030Z - 010500Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20WNW BVO/BARTLESVILLE OK/ - 30E SPS/WICHITA FALLS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /49NNW TUL - 31E SPS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..4 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.
LAT...LON 36869518 33959683 33959911 36869752
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 262 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 262
VALID 010250Z - 010340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW CHK
TO 15 SSE CQB TO 30 N CQB TO 15 SE PNC TO 15 NE PNC.
..DIAL..06/01/13
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 262
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC015-019-027-031-033-035-037-049-051-061-063-067-077-087-091-
097-099-105-107-111-113-115-117-121-123-125-131-133-137-143-145-
147-010340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CARTER CLEVELAND
COMANCHE COTTON CRAIG
CREEK GARVIN GRADY
HASKELL HUGHES JEFFERSON
LATIMER MCCLAIN MCINTOSH
MAYES MURRAY NOWATA
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE ROGERS
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TULSA
WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 262
VALID 312240Z - 312340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 908
..DIAL..05/31/13
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 262
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC011-015-017-019-027-031-033-035-037-047-049-051-063-067-071-
073-081-083-087-097-099-103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-123-
125-131-133-137-143-145-147-312340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CLEVELAND COMANCHE
COTTON CRAIG CREEK
GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY
HUGHES JEFFERSON KAY
KINGFISHER LINCOLN LOGAN
MCCLAIN MAYES MURRAY
NOBLE NOWATA OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PAYNE
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE ROGERS
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TULSA
WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (90%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.