Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 213
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
140 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN OKLAHOMA
NORTHWESTERN TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 140 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
NUMEROUS LARGE HAIL EVENTS LIKELY WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL
EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 80
MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
BORGER TEXAS TO 90 MILES WEST OF ABILENE TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE INITIATING NEAR WEAK DEVELOPING FRONTAL
WAVE...NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF A CONVECTIVELY GENERATED SURFACE
BOUNDARY AND GRADUALLY SHARPENING DRYLINE. RAPID FURTHER INTENSE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...IN
THE PRESENCE OF VERY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...LARGE CAPE...AND
SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS. BEFORE STORMS BEGIN TO CONSOLIDATE
WITH UPSCALE CONVECTIVE GROWTH LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...A
FEW SUPERCELLS ARE PROBABLE...SOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE
HAIL AND TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29015.
...KERR
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 213 TORNADO OK TX 231840Z - 240300Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20NNW BGD/BORGER TX/ - 90W ABI/ABILENE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /41N AMA - 54ENE MAF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29015.
LAT...LON 35959983 32409958 32400284 35950323
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 213 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 213
VALID 240140Z - 240240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE CVS
TO 45 SSE LBB TO 70 N ABI.
..GUYER..05/24/13
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...AMA...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 213
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC003-017-033-059-079-115-151-165-207-219-227-253-305-317-335-
353-415-417-441-445-447-501-240240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BAILEY BORDEN
CALLAHAN COCHRAN DAWSON
FISHER GAINES HASKELL
HOCKLEY HOWARD JONES
LYNN MARTIN MITCHELL
NOLAN SCURRY SHACKELFORD
TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON
YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 213
VALID 232135Z - 232240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 784
..GUYER..05/23/13
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...AMA...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 213
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-055-057-065-129-232240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM GREER HARMON
JACKSON ROGER MILLS
$$
TXC003-011-017-023-033-045-059-065-069-075-079-087-101-107-115-
117-125-129-151-153-155-165-169-179-189-191-197-205-207-211-219-
227-233-253-263-269-275-279-303-305-317-335-341-345-353-359-369-
375-381-393-415-417-433-437-441-445-447-483-487-501-232240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS ARMSTRONG BAILEY
BAYLOR BORDEN BRISCOE
CALLAHAN CARSON CASTRO
CHILDRESS COCHRAN COLLINGSWORTH
COTTLE CROSBY DAWSON
DEAF SMITH DICKENS DONLEY
FISHER FLOYD FOARD
GAINES GARZA GRAY
HALE HALL HARDEMAN
HARTLEY HASKELL HEMPHILL
HOCKLEY HOWARD HUTCHINSON
JONES KENT KING
KNOX LAMB LUBBOCK
LYNN MARTIN MITCHELL
MOORE MOTLEY NOLAN
OLDHAM PARMER POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STONEWALL SWISHER
TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON
WHEELER WILBARGER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 213
VALID 231945Z - 232040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BUNTING..05/23/13
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...AMA...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 213
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-055-057-065-129-232040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM GREER HARMON
JACKSON ROGER MILLS
$$
TXC003-011-017-023-033-045-059-065-069-075-079-087-101-107-115-
117-125-129-151-153-155-165-169-179-189-191-197-205-207-211-219-
227-233-253-263-269-275-279-303-305-317-335-341-345-353-359-369-
375-381-393-415-417-433-437-441-445-447-483-487-501-232040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS ARMSTRONG BAILEY
BAYLOR BORDEN BRISCOE
CALLAHAN CARSON CASTRO
CHILDRESS COCHRAN COLLINGSWORTH
COTTLE CROSBY DAWSON
DEAF SMITH DICKENS DONLEY
FISHER FLOYD FOARD
GAINES GARZA GRAY
HALE HALL HARDEMAN
HARTLEY HASKELL HEMPHILL
HOCKLEY HOWARD HUTCHINSON
JONES KENT KING
KNOX LAMB LUBBOCK
LYNN MARTIN MITCHELL
MOORE MOTLEY NOLAN
OLDHAM PARMER POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STONEWALL SWISHER
TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON
WHEELER WILBARGER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.