Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 149
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM CDT WED MAY 8 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL KANSAS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST TEXAS AND EASTERN PARTS OF THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE
* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM
UNTIL 1100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
NUMEROUS LARGE HAIL EVENTS EXPECTED WITH SEVERAL VERY LARGE HAIL
EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 100 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF CHILDRESS TEXAS TO 20 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
RUSSELL KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 148...
DISCUSSION...SCTD SUSTAINED TSTMS/SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG
AND AHEAD OF DRY LINE/LEE TROUGH EXTENDING SSW FROM SW KS SFC LOW
INTO WRN TX. STRENGTH AND DISCRETE NATURE OF STORMS WILL BE AIDED BY
RELATIVELY MODEST LOW-LVL CONVERGENCE...PERSISTENT UPR
DIFFLUENCE...AND STEEP LOW TO MID-LVL LAPSE RATES...SUGGESTING A
RISK FOR BOTH LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DMGG WINDS. WHILE
TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT SPREADS ARE SIZABLE IN WW ATTM...POTENTIAL WILL
EXIST FOR CORRIDORS WITH AN ENHANCED RISK FOR LOW-LVL
ROTATION/TORNADOES GIVEN EXPECTED STORM INTERACTIONS LATER THIS
EVE..AND AS BOUNDARY LAYER BEGINS TO COOL/SSWLY LLJ STRENGTHENS.
THUS...PARTS OF THE WW MAY REQUIRE POSSIBLE UPGRADE TO TORNADO WW
LATER THIS EVE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25025.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 149 SEVERE TSTM KS OK TX 082020Z - 090400Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
100SSE CDS/CHILDRESS TX/ - 20NNE RSL/RUSSELL KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /39NNE ABI - 51WNW SLN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
LAT...LON 33080091 39110008 39119727 33089831
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 149 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 149
VALID 090330Z - 090440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE CHK TO
35 SW END TO 50 WNW AVK TO 30 SSE GCK.
..BROYLES..05/09/13
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-015-017-019-033-035-047-049-051-053-073-077-079-095-
097-105-113-115-145-151-155-159-165-167-169-173-185-191-
090440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA COMANCHE
COWLEY EDWARDS ELK
ELLIS ELLSWORTH GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN
KIOWA LINCOLN MCPHERSON
MARION PAWNEE PRATT
RENO RICE RUSH
RUSSELL SALINE SEDGWICK
STAFFORD SUMNER
$$
OKC003-017-027-047-053-071-073-081-083-087-093-103-109-119-125-
151-090440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA CANADIAN CLEVELAND
GARFIELD GRANT KAY
KINGFISHER LINCOLN LOGAN
MCCLAIN MAJOR NOBLE
OKLAHOMA PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE
WOODS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 149
VALID 090225Z - 090340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW ABI TO
25 S LTS TO 25 NW FSI TO 45 NE CSM TO 50 WNW AVK TO 35 SSE GCK.
..BROYLES..05/09/13
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-015-017-019-025-033-035-047-049-051-053-057-073-077-
079-083-095-097-105-113-115-135-145-151-155-159-165-167-169-173-
185-191-195-090340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CLARK
COMANCHE COWLEY EDWARDS
ELK ELLIS ELLSWORTH
FORD GREENWOOD HARPER
HARVEY HODGEMAN KINGMAN
KIOWA LINCOLN MCPHERSON
MARION NESS PAWNEE
PRATT RENO RICE
RUSH RUSSELL SALINE
SEDGWICK STAFFORD SUMNER
TREGO
$$
OKC003-011-015-017-027-031-033-047-051-053-067-071-073-081-083-
087-093-103-109-119-125-137-141-151-090340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN CLEVELAND COMANCHE
COTTON GARFIELD GRADY
GRANT JEFFERSON KAY
KINGFISHER LINCOLN LOGAN
MCCLAIN MAJOR NOBLE
OKLAHOMA PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE
STEPHENS TILLMAN WOODS
$$
TXC009-023-077-485-487-090340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 149
VALID 090055Z - 090140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WNW ABI
TO 30 SSE CDS TO 15 WNW LTS TO 25 SE GAG TO 50 WNW AVK TO 35 SW
DDC.
..BROYLES..05/09/13
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-015-017-019-025-033-035-047-049-051-053-057-073-077-
079-083-095-097-105-113-115-135-145-151-155-159-165-167-169-173-
185-191-195-090140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CLARK
COMANCHE COWLEY EDWARDS
ELK ELLIS ELLSWORTH
FORD GREENWOOD HARPER
HARVEY HODGEMAN KINGMAN
KIOWA LINCOLN MCPHERSON
MARION NESS PAWNEE
PRATT RENO RICE
RUSH RUSSELL SALINE
SEDGWICK STAFFORD SUMNER
TREGO
$$
OKC003-011-015-017-027-031-033-039-043-047-051-053-055-065-067-
071-073-075-081-083-087-093-103-109-119-125-137-141-149-151-153-
090140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN CLEVELAND COMANCHE
COTTON CUSTER DEWEY
GARFIELD GRADY GRANT
GREER JACKSON JEFFERSON
KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN MCCLAIN
MAJOR NOBLE OKLAHOMA
PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE STEPHENS
TILLMAN WASHITA WOODS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-077-155-197-207-253-269-275-417-433-447-485-487-
090140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
FOARD HARDEMAN HASKELL
JONES KING KNOX
SHACKELFORD STONEWALL THROCKMORTON
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 149
VALID 082340Z - 090040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 WNW ABI
TO 50 ESE BGD.
..BROYLES..05/08/13
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-025-033-047-051-053-057-077-079-083-095-097-105-113-
119-135-145-151-155-159-165-167-169-173-185-191-195-090040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON CLARK
COMANCHE EDWARDS ELLIS
ELLSWORTH FORD HARPER
HARVEY HODGEMAN KINGMAN
KIOWA LINCOLN MCPHERSON
MEADE NESS PAWNEE
PRATT RENO RICE
RUSH RUSSELL SALINE
SEDGWICK STAFFORD SUMNER
TREGO
$$
OKC003-007-009-011-015-017-031-033-039-043-045-047-051-053-055-
057-059-065-067-071-073-075-083-093-103-109-129-137-141-149-151-
153-090040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GRADY GRANT GREER
HARMON HARPER JACKSON
JEFFERSON KAY KINGFISHER
KIOWA LOGAN MAJOR
NOBLE OKLAHOMA ROGER MILLS
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-075-077-087-101-155-197-207-211-253-269-275-295-417-
433-447-483-485-487-090040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
FOARD HARDEMAN HASKELL
HEMPHILL JONES KING
KNOX LIPSCOMB SHACKELFORD
STONEWALL THROCKMORTON WHEELER
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 149
VALID 082135Z - 082240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/08/13
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...AMA...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-025-033-047-051-053-057-077-079-083-095-097-105-113-
119-135-145-151-155-159-165-167-169-173-185-191-195-082240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON CLARK
COMANCHE EDWARDS ELLIS
ELLSWORTH FORD HARPER
HARVEY HODGEMAN KINGMAN
KIOWA LINCOLN MCPHERSON
MEADE NESS PAWNEE
PRATT RENO RICE
RUSH RUSSELL SALINE
SEDGWICK STAFFORD SUMNER
TREGO
$$
OKC003-007-009-011-015-017-031-033-039-043-045-047-051-053-055-
057-059-065-067-071-073-075-083-093-103-109-129-137-141-149-151-
153-082240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GRADY GRANT GREER
HARMON HARPER JACKSON
JEFFERSON KAY KINGFISHER
KIOWA LOGAN MAJOR
NOBLE OKLAHOMA ROGER MILLS
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-075-077-087-101-107-125-129-155-169-191-197-207-211-
263-269-275-295-345-433-447-483-485-487-082240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY
FOARD GARZA HALL
HARDEMAN HASKELL HEMPHILL
KENT KING KNOX
LIPSCOMB MOTLEY STONEWALL
THROCKMORTON WHEELER WICHITA
WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.