SEL1
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 1
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   935 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
          SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 935 AM UNTIL
   500 PM CST.
   
   HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH
   NORTHWEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO 10 MILES EAST
   SOUTHEAST OF GULFPORT MISSISSIPPI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF
   THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS
   WOU1).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING ACROSS SOUTH
   CENTRAL LA AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH.  THESE STORMS ARE
   FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THIS MORNING AND EARLY
   AFTERNOON...SPREADING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD.  MUCAPE VALUES 1500 J/KG
   AND SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE SHEAR WILL PROMOTE ORGANIZED AND/OR
   SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 25030.
   
   
   ...HART

   SEL1
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 1
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   935 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
          SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 935 AM UNTIL
   500 PM CST.
   
   HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH
   NORTHWEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO 10 MILES EAST
   SOUTHEAST OF GULFPORT MISSISSIPPI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF
   THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS
   WOU1).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING ACROSS SOUTH
   CENTRAL LA AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH.  THESE STORMS ARE
   FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THIS MORNING AND EARLY
   AFTERNOON...SPREADING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD.  MUCAPE VALUES 1500 J/KG
   AND SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE SHEAR WILL PROMOTE ORGANIZED AND/OR
   SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 25030.
   
   
   ...HART

   WOUS64 KWNS 031530
   WOU1
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 1
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   935 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2009
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 1 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CST
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   LAC005-007-033-037-045-047-051-055-057-063-071-075-077-087-089-
   091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-109-117-121-125-032300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0001.090103T1535Z-090103T2300Z/
   
   LA 
   .    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ASCENSION            ASSUMPTION          EAST BATON ROUGE    
   EAST FELICIANA       IBERIA              IBERVILLE           
   JEFFERSON            LAFAYETTE           LAFOURCHE           
   LIVINGSTON           ORLEANS             PLAQUEMINES         
   POINTE COUPEE        ST. BERNARD         ST. CHARLES         
   ST. HELENA           ST. JAMES           ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST
   ST. LANDRY           ST. MARTIN          ST. MARY            
   ST. TAMMANY          TANGIPAHOA          TERREBONNE          
   WASHINGTON           WEST BATON ROUGE    WEST FELICIANA      
   
   
   MSC001-005-031-035-037-045-047-059-065-067-073-077-085-091-109-
   113-147-157-032300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0001.090103T1535Z-090103T2300Z/
   
   MS 
   .    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ADAMS                AMITE               COVINGTON           
   FORREST              FRANKLIN            HANCOCK             
   HARRISON             JACKSON             JEFFERSON DAVIS     
   JONES                LAMAR               LAWRENCE            
   LINCOLN              MARION              PEARL RIVER         
   PIKE                 WALTHALL            WILKINSON           
   
   
   GMZ455-530-550-555-032300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0001.090103T1535Z-090103T2300Z/
   
   CW 
   
   .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
   
   COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
   LA OUT 20 NM 
   
   LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS 
   
   COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
   TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM 
   
   COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
   MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM 
   
   ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...JAN...
   
   
   

   SAW1 
   WW 1 SEVERE TSTM LA MS CW 031535Z - 032300Z
   AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
   15NNW 7R4/INTRACOASTAL CITY LA/ - 10ESE GPT/GULFPORT MS/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM N/S /47ESE LCH - 37SW SJI/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
   
   LAT...LON 31209223 31568891 29118891 28759223
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU1.
   

Watch 1 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 1

VALID 032045Z - 032140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S HUM TO
35 NNW MSY TO 35 S ESF.

..GUYER..01/03/09

ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...JAN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 1 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

LAC033-037-051-057-063-071-075-077-087-089-091-095-103-105-117-
125-032140-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

EAST BATON ROUGE     EAST FELICIANA	 JEFFERSON	     
LAFOURCHE	     LIVINGSTON 	 ORLEANS	     
PLAQUEMINES	     POINTE COUPEE	 ST. BERNARD	     
ST. CHARLES	     ST. HELENA 	 ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST
ST. TAMMANY	     TANGIPAHOA 	 WASHINGTON	     
WEST FELICIANA	     
$$


MSC001-005-031-035-037-045-047-059-065-067-073-077-085-091-109-
113-147-157-032140-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     AMITE		 COVINGTON	     
FORREST 	     FRANKLIN		 HANCOCK	     
HARRISON	     JACKSON		 JEFFERSON DAVIS     
JONES		     LAMAR		 LAWRENCE	     
LINCOLN 	     MARION		 PEARL RIVER	     
PIKE		     WALTHALL		 WILKINSON	     
$$


GMZ530-550-555-032140-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS 

COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 1

VALID 031950Z - 032040Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..GUYER..01/03/09

ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...JAN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 1 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

LAC005-007-033-037-045-047-051-055-057-063-071-075-077-087-089-
091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-109-117-121-125-032040-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

ASCENSION	     ASSUMPTION 	 EAST BATON ROUGE    
EAST FELICIANA	     IBERIA		 IBERVILLE	     
JEFFERSON	     LAFAYETTE		 LAFOURCHE	     
LIVINGSTON	     ORLEANS		 PLAQUEMINES	     
POINTE COUPEE	     ST. BERNARD	 ST. CHARLES	     
ST. HELENA	     ST. JAMES		 ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST
ST. LANDRY	     ST. MARTIN 	 ST. MARY	     
ST. TAMMANY	     TANGIPAHOA 	 TERREBONNE	     
WASHINGTON	     WEST BATON ROUGE	 WEST FELICIANA      
$$


MSC001-005-031-035-037-045-047-059-065-067-073-077-085-091-109-
113-147-157-032040-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     AMITE		 COVINGTON	     
FORREST 	     FRANKLIN		 HANCOCK	     
HARRISON	     JACKSON		 JEFFERSON DAVIS     
JONES		     LAMAR		 LAWRENCE	     
LINCOLN 	     MARION		 PEARL RIVER	     
PIKE		     WALTHALL		 WILKINSON	     
$$


GMZ455-530-550-555-032040-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM 

LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS 

COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 1

VALID 031845Z - 031940Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 4

..GUYER..01/03/09

ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...JAN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 1 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

LAC005-007-033-037-045-047-051-055-057-063-071-075-077-087-089-
091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-109-117-121-125-031940-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

ASCENSION	     ASSUMPTION 	 EAST BATON ROUGE    
EAST FELICIANA	     IBERIA		 IBERVILLE	     
JEFFERSON	     LAFAYETTE		 LAFOURCHE	     
LIVINGSTON	     ORLEANS		 PLAQUEMINES	     
POINTE COUPEE	     ST. BERNARD	 ST. CHARLES	     
ST. HELENA	     ST. JAMES		 ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST
ST. LANDRY	     ST. MARTIN 	 ST. MARY	     
ST. TAMMANY	     TANGIPAHOA 	 TERREBONNE	     
WASHINGTON	     WEST BATON ROUGE	 WEST FELICIANA      
$$


MSC001-005-031-035-037-045-047-059-065-067-073-077-085-091-109-
113-147-157-031940-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     AMITE		 COVINGTON	     
FORREST 	     FRANKLIN		 HANCOCK	     
HARRISON	     JACKSON		 JEFFERSON DAVIS     
JONES		     LAMAR		 LAWRENCE	     
LINCOLN 	     MARION		 PEARL RIVER	     
PIKE		     WALTHALL		 WILKINSON	     
$$


GMZ455-530-550-555-031940-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM 

LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS 

COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 1

VALID 031725Z - 031840Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..GUYER..01/03/09

ATTN...WFO...LIX...LCH...JAN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 1 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

LAC005-007-033-037-045-047-051-055-057-063-071-075-077-087-089-
091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-109-117-121-125-031840-

LA 
.    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE

ASCENSION	     ASSUMPTION 	 EAST BATON ROUGE    
EAST FELICIANA	     IBERIA		 IBERVILLE	     
JEFFERSON	     LAFAYETTE		 LAFOURCHE	     
LIVINGSTON	     ORLEANS		 PLAQUEMINES	     
POINTE COUPEE	     ST. BERNARD	 ST. CHARLES	     
ST. HELENA	     ST. JAMES		 ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST
ST. LANDRY	     ST. MARTIN 	 ST. MARY	     
ST. TAMMANY	     TANGIPAHOA 	 TERREBONNE	     
WASHINGTON	     WEST BATON ROUGE	 WEST FELICIANA      
$$


MSC001-005-031-035-037-045-047-059-065-067-073-077-085-091-109-
113-147-157-031840-

MS 
.    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     AMITE		 COVINGTON	     
FORREST 	     FRANKLIN		 HANCOCK	     
HARRISON	     JACKSON		 JEFFERSON DAVIS     
JONES		     LAMAR		 LAWRENCE	     
LINCOLN 	     MARION		 PEARL RIVER	     
PIKE		     WALTHALL		 WILKINSON	     
$$


GMZ455-530-550-555-031840-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM 

LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS 

COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.