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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 933
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING FROM 1225 AM UNTIL 800 AM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST OF JACKSONVILLE
NORTH CAROLINA TO 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF ELIZABETH CITY NORTH
CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 931...WW 932...
DISCUSSION...BROKEN BAND OF TSTMS NOW OVER WRN PARTS OF THE SC CSTL
PLNS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NEWD...WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS POSSIBLY
FORMING ON NRN SIDE OF CONVECTIVE SYSTEM AS IT INTERACTS WITH SW-NE
WARM FRONT OVER THE NC PIEDMONT. FORCING FOR ASCENT...DEEP
SHEAR...AND LOW LVL SHEAR EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS WW LATER THIS
MORNING AS FL PANHANDLE UPR VORT ACCELERATES NEWD. COUPLED WITH
INFLUX OF WRN ATLANTIC BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE...SETUP COULD YIELD
SEMI-DISCRETE STORMS/ADDITIONAL BROKEN LINE SEGMENTS THAT POSE A
THREAT FOR TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO DMGG WIND.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 933 TORNADO NC CW 150525Z - 151300Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30W OAJ/JACKSONVILLE NC/ - 45WNW ECG/ELIZABETH CITY NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /32NNW ILM - 40WNW ECG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.
LAT...LON 34817981 36507863 36507522 34817647
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 933 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 933
VALID 151230Z - 151340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE OAJ
TO 40 ESE RWI TO 40 E RZZ.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2388
..GUYER..11/15/08
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 933
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-015-029-031-041-049-053-055-073-091-095-103-117-133-137-
139-143-177-187-151340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHOWAN CRAVEN
CURRITUCK DARE GATES
HERTFORD HYDE JONES
MARTIN ONSLOW PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS TYRRELL
WASHINGTON
$$
VAC093-175-199-550-620-650-700-710-735-740-800-810-830-151340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ISLE OF WIGHT SOUTHAMPTON YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE FRANKLIN HAMPTON
NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK POQUOSON
PORTSMOUTH SUFFOLK VIRGINIA BEACH
WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-ANZ632-633-656-658-151340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 933
VALID 151035Z - 151140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSE FAY
TO 15 ENE RZZ.
..GUYER..11/15/08
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 933
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-015-029-031-041-049-051-053-055-061-065-073-079-083-091-
095-101-103-107-117-127-131-133-137-139-143-147-163-177-187-191-
195-151140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHOWAN CRAVEN
CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK DARE
DUPLIN EDGECOMBE GATES
GREENE HALIFAX HERTFORD
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LENOIR MARTIN NASH
NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PITT
SAMPSON TYRRELL WASHINGTON
WAYNE WILSON
$$
VAC081-093-175-181-183-199-550-595-620-650-700-710-735-740-800-
810-830-151140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREENSVILLE ISLE OF WIGHT SOUTHAMPTON
SURRY SUSSEX YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE EMPORIA FRANKLIN
HAMPTON NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK
POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH SUFFOLK
VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-ANZ632-633-656-658-151140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 933
VALID 150940Z - 151040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2387
..GUYER..11/15/08
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 933
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-015-029-031-037-041-049-051-053-055-061-063-065-069-073-
077-079-083-085-091-093-095-101-103-105-107-117-125-127-131-133-
135-137-139-143-145-147-153-163-165-177-181-183-185-187-191-195-
151040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHATHAM CHOWAN
CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK
DARE DUPLIN DURHAM
EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN GATES
GRANVILLE GREENE HALIFAX
HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LEE LENOIR MARTIN
MOORE NASH NORTHAMPTON
ONSLOW ORANGE PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PERSON
PITT RICHMOND SAMPSON
SCOTLAND TYRRELL VANCE
WAKE WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WILSON
$$
VAC081-093-175-181-183-199-550-595-620-650-700-710-735-740-800-
810-830-151040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREENSVILLE ISLE OF WIGHT SOUTHAMPTON
SURRY SUSSEX YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE EMPORIA FRANKLIN
HAMPTON NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK
POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH SUFFOLK
VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-ANZ632-633-656-658-151040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 933
VALID 150850Z - 150940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2386
..GUYER..11/15/08
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 933
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-015-029-031-037-041-049-051-053-055-061-063-065-069-073-
077-079-083-085-091-093-095-101-103-105-107-117-125-127-131-133-
135-137-139-143-145-147-153-163-165-177-181-183-185-187-191-195-
150940-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHATHAM CHOWAN
CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK
DARE DUPLIN DURHAM
EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN GATES
GRANVILLE GREENE HALIFAX
HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LEE LENOIR MARTIN
MOORE NASH NORTHAMPTON
ONSLOW ORANGE PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PERSON
PITT RICHMOND SAMPSON
SCOTLAND TYRRELL VANCE
WAKE WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WILSON
$$
VAC081-093-175-181-183-199-550-595-620-650-700-710-735-740-800-
810-830-150940-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREENSVILLE ISLE OF WIGHT SOUTHAMPTON
SURRY SUSSEX YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE EMPORIA FRANKLIN
HAMPTON NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK
POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH SUFFOLK
VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-ANZ632-633-656-658-150940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 933
VALID 150645Z - 150740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..11/15/08
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 933
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-015-029-031-037-041-049-051-053-055-061-063-065-069-073-
077-079-083-085-091-093-095-101-103-105-107-117-125-127-131-133-
135-137-139-143-145-147-153-163-165-177-181-183-185-187-191-195-
150740-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHATHAM CHOWAN
CRAVEN CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK
DARE DUPLIN DURHAM
EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN GATES
GRANVILLE GREENE HALIFAX
HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LEE LENOIR MARTIN
MOORE NASH NORTHAMPTON
ONSLOW ORANGE PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PERSON
PITT RICHMOND SAMPSON
SCOTLAND TYRRELL VANCE
WAKE WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WILSON
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-ANZ633-658-150740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.