Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 468
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
740 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
LARGE PART OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
A LARGE PART OF NORTHWESTERN TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 740 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 90 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
PONCA CITY OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF ABILENE TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 462...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 465. WATCH NUMBER 462 465
WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 740 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 466...WW
467...
DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR INDICATES VIGOROUS VORT/WIND MAX MOVING EWD
ACROSS TX PANHANDLE. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING WRN PORTION OF
WATCH WILL RESPOND TO THE MID LEVEL COOLING AND ASCENT INCREASING
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES AND CONTINUED THREAT OF VERY STRONG/DAMAGING
WINDS AS THE LINE MOVES EWD ACROSS THE WATCH EARLY TONIGHT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 468 TORNADO OK TX 060040Z - 060800Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30ENE PNC/PONCA CITY OK/ - 40WSW ABI/ABILENE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /57NW TUL - 29SW ABI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..80 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
REPLACES WW 462..KS OK
REPLACES WW 465..OK TX
LAT...LON 36889551 32189929 32180133 36889768
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 468 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 468
VALID 060735Z - 060800Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S ABI TO
20 NE ABI TO 45 ENE ABI.
WW 468 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 060800Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1245.
..PETERS..06/06/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...SJT...LUB...MAF...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 468
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC059-417-060800-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN SHACKELFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 468
VALID 060635Z - 060740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW ABI
TO 50 NE ABI TO 35 NW MWL.
..PETERS..06/06/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...SJT...LUB...MAF...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 468
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC059-097-133-237-337-363-417-429-441-497-060740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN COOKE EASTLAND
JACK MONTAGUE PALO PINTO
SHACKELFORD STEPHENS TAYLOR
WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 468
VALID 060545Z - 060640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW ABI
TO 45 NE ABI TO 20 ESE SPS TO 40 W ADM TO 15 E CQB TO 15 W TUL TO
10 NE BVO.
..PETERS..06/06/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...SJT...LUB...MAF...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 468
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC067-105-143-147-060640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON NOWATA TULSA
WASHINGTON
$$
TXC059-077-097-133-237-337-363-417-429-441-497-503-060640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN CLAY COOKE
EASTLAND JACK MONTAGUE
PALO PINTO SHACKELFORD STEPHENS
TAYLOR WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 468
VALID 060430Z - 060540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E BGS TO
45 NNE ABI TO 15 NE SPS TO 20 ESE CHK TO 10 SSW CQB TO 35 W TUL
TO 30 ENE PNC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1244
...SPC..06/06/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...SJT...LUB...MAF...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 468
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC037-049-067-087-105-113-125-137-143-147-060540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CREEK GARVIN JEFFERSON
MCCLAIN NOWATA OSAGE
POTTAWATOMIE STEPHENS TULSA
WASHINGTON
$$
TXC009-059-077-097-133-237-253-337-353-363-417-429-441-447-497-
503-060540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER CALLAHAN CLAY
COOKE EASTLAND JACK
JONES MONTAGUE NOLAN
PALO PINTO SHACKELFORD STEPHENS
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WISE
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 468
VALID 060340Z - 060440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 E BGS TO
45 SW SPS TO 20 WSW CHK TO 35 SE END TO 15 NW PNC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1241
..CORFIDI..06/06/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...SJT...LUB...MAF...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 468
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC027-033-037-049-051-067-071-081-083-087-103-105-109-113-117-
119-125-137-143-147-060440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLEVELAND COTTON CREEK
GARVIN GRADY JEFFERSON
KAY LINCOLN LOGAN
MCCLAIN NOBLE NOWATA
OKLAHOMA OSAGE PAWNEE
PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE STEPHENS
TULSA WASHINGTON
$$
TXC009-023-059-077-097-133-237-253-337-353-363-417-429-441-447-
485-497-503-060440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CALLAHAN
CLAY COOKE EASTLAND
JACK JONES MONTAGUE
NOLAN PALO PINTO SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
WICHITA WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 468
VALID 060225Z - 060340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E BGS TO
60 SE CDS TO 20 WNW FSI TO 35 SSW END TO 35 WNW PNC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1241
..CORFIDI..06/06/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...SJT...LUB...MAF...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 468
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC015-017-027-031-033-037-047-049-051-067-071-073-075-081-083-
087-103-105-109-113-117-119-125-137-141-143-147-060340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE COTTON CREEK
GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY
JEFFERSON KAY KINGFISHER
KIOWA LINCOLN LOGAN
MCCLAIN NOBLE NOWATA
OKLAHOMA OSAGE PAWNEE
PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE STEPHENS
TILLMAN TULSA WASHINGTON
$$
TXC009-023-059-077-151-207-253-275-353-417-429-433-441-447-485-
487-503-060340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CALLAHAN
CLAY FISHER HASKELL
JONES KNOX NOLAN
SHACKELFORD STEPHENS STONEWALL
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WICHITA
WILBARGER YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 468
VALID 060140Z - 060240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE BGS TO
65 S CDS TO 20 NE LTS TO 35 NE CSM.
..CORFIDI..06/06/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...SJT...LUB...MAF...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 468
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC011-015-017-027-031-033-037-047-049-051-053-067-071-073-075-
081-083-087-103-105-109-113-117-119-125-137-141-143-147-149-
060240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON
CREEK GARFIELD GARVIN
GRADY GRANT JEFFERSON
KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN MCCLAIN
NOBLE NOWATA OKLAHOMA
OSAGE PAWNEE PAYNE
POTTAWATOMIE STEPHENS TILLMAN
TULSA WASHINGTON WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-059-077-151-155-207-253-275-353-415-417-429-433-441-
447-485-487-503-060240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CALLAHAN
CLAY FISHER FOARD
HASKELL JONES KNOX
NOLAN SCURRY SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
High (90%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.