Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 221
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
325 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 325 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST OF MIDLAND
TEXAS TO 5 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF STEPHENVILLE TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 219. WATCH NUMBER 219 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
325 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 217...WW 218...WW 220...
DISCUSSION...TORNADIC SUPERCELLS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG E/W BOUNDARY
CENTRAL TX AS S/WV TROUGH AND MID LEVEL WIND MAX MOVE ACROSS AREA.
WITH A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE AND FAVORABLE VEERING SHEAR
PROFILES...TORNADIC SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE EWD VICINITY OF
BOUNDARY AS WELL AS ACROSS WARM SECTOR OF WATCH AREA.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 221 TORNADO TX 232025Z - 240400Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45W MAF/MIDLAND TX/ - 5NNE SEP/STEPHENVILLE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM N/S /15ENE INK - 58NW ACT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
REPLACES WW 219..TX
LAT...LON 33020297 33369815 31209815 30860297
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 221 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 221
VALID 240310Z - 240440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE BWD
TO 15 ENE BWD TO 10 N SEP.
..BROYLES..04/24/08
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 221
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC093-193-281-333-240440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COMANCHE HAMILTON LAMPASAS
MILLS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 221
VALID 240135Z - 240240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N JCT TO
30 SW ABI TO 40 NE BGS TO 40 SSE LBB.
..BROYLES..04/24/08
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 221
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-083-093-133-143-151-193-207-253-263-281-307-333-353-
411-415-417-433-441-447-240240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COLEMAN
COMANCHE EASTLAND ERATH
FISHER HAMILTON HASKELL
JONES KENT LAMPASAS
MCCULLOCH MILLS NOLAN
SAN SABA SCURRY SHACKELFORD
STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 221
VALID 240030Z - 240140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 E FST TO
20 WNW BGS TO 35 SSW LBB.
..BROYLES..04/24/08
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 221
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC033-049-059-081-083-093-095-105-115-133-143-151-173-193-207-
227-235-237-253-263-281-307-327-333-335-353-363-383-399-411-413-
415-417-429-431-433-441-447-451-503-240140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BORDEN BROWN CALLAHAN
COKE COLEMAN COMANCHE
CONCHO CROCKETT DAWSON
EASTLAND ERATH FISHER
GLASSCOCK HAMILTON HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JACK
JONES KENT LAMPASAS
MCCULLOCH MENARD MILLS
MITCHELL NOLAN PALO PINTO
REAGAN RUNNELS SAN SABA
SCHLEICHER SCURRY SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS STERLING STONEWALL
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 221
VALID 240000Z - 240140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E FST TO
5 NW MAF TO 50 SW LBB.
..BROYLES..04/23/08
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 221
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC033-049-059-081-083-093-095-105-115-133-143-151-173-193-207-
227-235-237-253-263-281-307-317-327-329-333-335-353-363-383-399-
411-413-415-417-429-431-433-441-447-451-461-503-240140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BORDEN BROWN CALLAHAN
COKE COLEMAN COMANCHE
CONCHO CROCKETT DAWSON
EASTLAND ERATH FISHER
GLASSCOCK HAMILTON HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JACK
JONES KENT LAMPASAS
MCCULLOCH MARTIN MENARD
MIDLAND MILLS MITCHELL
NOLAN PALO PINTO REAGAN
RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STEPHENS
STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN UPTON
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 221
VALID 232255Z - 232340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E FST TO
30 WNW MAF TO 35 NE HOB.
..BROYLES..04/23/08
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 221
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC003-033-049-059-081-083-093-095-103-105-115-133-135-143-151-
165-173-193-207-227-235-237-253-263-281-307-317-327-329-333-335-
353-363-383-399-411-413-415-417-429-431-433-441-447-451-461-503-
232340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN BROWN
CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN
COMANCHE CONCHO CRANE
CROCKETT DAWSON EASTLAND
ECTOR ERATH FISHER
GAINES GLASSCOCK HAMILTON
HASKELL HOWARD IRION
JACK JONES KENT
LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH MARTIN
MENARD MIDLAND MILLS
MITCHELL NOLAN PALO PINTO
REAGAN RUNNELS SAN SABA
SCHLEICHER SCURRY SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS STERLING STONEWALL
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN
UPTON YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 221
VALID 232135Z - 232240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..04/23/08
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 221
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC003-033-049-059-081-083-093-095-103-105-115-133-135-143-151-
165-173-193-207-227-235-237-253-263-281-307-317-327-329-333-335-
353-363-371-383-399-411-413-415-417-429-431-433-441-447-451-461-
475-495-503-232240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN BROWN
CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN
COMANCHE CONCHO CRANE
CROCKETT DAWSON EASTLAND
ECTOR ERATH FISHER
GAINES GLASSCOCK HAMILTON
HASKELL HOWARD IRION
JACK JONES KENT
LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH MARTIN
MENARD MIDLAND MILLS
MITCHELL NOLAN PALO PINTO
PECOS REAGAN RUNNELS
SAN SABA SCHLEICHER SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STEPHENS STERLING
STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
TOM GREEN UPTON WARD
WINKLER YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.