Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 212
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
900 PM CDT MON APR 21 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 900 PM UNTIL
200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH OF CHANDLER
OKLAHOMA TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF ARDMORE OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 211...
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TSTM IN SW OK THAT FORMED EARLIER THIS EVENING
ALONG MERGING PREFRONTAL BOUNDARIES APPEARS TO HAVE BECOME A
SUSTAINED SUPERCELL. GIVEN INCREASINGLY MOIST LOW-LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT... POTENTIAL FOR A SLIGHT NOCTURNAL INCREASE IN THE SLY
LLJ...AND GRAZING INFLUENCE OF ERN CO/WRN KS UPR TROUGH...THREAT
WILL EXIST FOR A TORNADO OR TWO IN ADDITION TO VERY LARGE HAIL AND
LOCALLY DMGG WIND.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26020.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 212 TORNADO OK 220200Z - 220700Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45N CQB/CHANDLER OK/ - 10S ADM/ARDMORE OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM E/W /51WNW TUL - 8ESE ADM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26020.
LAT...LON 36369601 34139623 34139780 36369762
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 212 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 212
VALID 220545Z - 220640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW MLC
TO 20 SE CHK TO 20 SE END TO 30 NNE CQB TO 25 SSE CQB TO 35 NNW
MLC.
..MEAD..04/22/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 212
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC027-063-081-083-087-109-119-125-133-220640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLEVELAND HUGHES LINCOLN
LOGAN MCCLAIN OKLAHOMA
PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 212
VALID 220435Z - 220540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW MLC TO
40 N ADM TO 20 SSE CHK.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 680.
..EDWARDS..04/22/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 212
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC027-037-063-081-083-087-107-109-119-125-133-220540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLEVELAND CREEK HUGHES
LINCOLN LOGAN MCCLAIN
OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA PAYNE
POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 212
VALID 220340Z - 220440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 680.
..EDWARDS..04/22/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 212
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC027-037-063-081-083-087-107-109-119-125-133-220440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLEVELAND CREEK HUGHES
LINCOLN LOGAN MCCLAIN
OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA PAYNE
POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 212
VALID 220235Z - 220340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..04/22/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 212
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-027-029-037-049-063-069-081-083-087-099-107-109-119-123-
125-133-220340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER CLEVELAND COAL
CREEK GARVIN HUGHES
JOHNSTON LINCOLN LOGAN
MCCLAIN MURRAY OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA PAYNE PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.