Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
0-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 132
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
520 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN...CENTRAL...AND EASTERN ARKANSAS
FAR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
FAR SOUTHWEST INDIANA
WESTERN KENTUCKY
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL
FAR NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WEST TENNESSEE
NORTHEAST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 520
PM UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF TYLER
TEXAS TO 50 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF FORT CAMPBELL KENTUCKY. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 130. WATCH NUMBER 130 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
520 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 131...
DISCUSSION...EXTENSIVE WSW/ENE-ORIENTED QLCS WITH EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY ALONG AND N
OF STALLING FRONT. EJECTION OF SW TX UPR SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR ADDITIONAL SUPERCELLS GIVEN STRENGTH OF
BOTH LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP SHEAR. WHILE ANA NATURE OF FRONT WILL KEEP
SOME OF THE STORMS SLIGHTLY ELEVATED...INCREASINGLY RICH MOISTURE
INFLOW AND DEGREE OF NEAR-SFC DIRECTIONAL SHEAR SUGGEST CONTINUED
RISK FOR TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO LOCALLY DMGG WIND.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 132 TORNADO AR IL IN KY MO MS OK TN TX 182220Z - 190700Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30NW TYR/TYLER TX/ - 50NNE HOP/FORT CAMPBELL KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /53WNW GGG - 41NW BWG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
REPLACES WW 130..AR OK TX
LAT...LON 33529576 38208712 36478712 31799576
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 132 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 132
VALID 190620Z - 190Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW MEM TO
15 NW DYR TO 5 SE OWB.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 132 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
19/07Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 470.
..KERR..03/19/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...PAH...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 132
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC033-035-047-107-143-177-219-221-190700-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN
HOPKINS LYON MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG
$$
MSC033-143-190700-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DESOTO TUNICA
$$
TNC017-033-045-047-053-075-079-097-113-131-157-167-183-190700-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL CROCKETT DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HAYWOOD
HENRY LAUDERDALE MADISON
OBION SHELBY TIPTON
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 132
VALID 190535Z - 190Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE PBF
TO 25 SSW JBR TO 5 ESE OWB.
..KERR..03/19/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...PAH...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 132
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC035-037-077-093-107-111-123-190640-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRITTENDEN CROSS LEE
MISSISSIPPI PHILLIPS POINSETT
ST. FRANCIS
$$
KYC033-035-047-107-143-177-219-221-190640-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN
HOPKINS LYON MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG
$$
MSC033-143-190640-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DESOTO TUNICA
$$
TNC017-033-045-047-053-075-079-097-113-131-157-167-183-190640-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL CROCKETT DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HAYWOOD
HENRY LAUDERDALE MADISON
OBION SHELBY TIPTON
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 132
VALID 190450Z - 190Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N SHV TO
25 ESE DEQ TO 45 NNE TXK TO 45 NNE ELD TO 5 NNE PBF TO 35 ENE LIT
TO 30 W DYR TO 5 ESE OWB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 469
..DIAL..03/19/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...PAH...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 132
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-013-025-027-035-037-041-043-057-069-073-077-079-085-
091-093-095-099-103-107-111-117-123-190540-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CALHOUN
CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CRITTENDEN
CROSS DESHA DREW
HEMPSTEAD JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE
LEE LINCOLN LONOKE
MILLER MISSISSIPPI MONROE
NEVADA OUACHITA PHILLIPS
POINSETT PRAIRIE ST. FRANCIS
$$
KYC033-035-047-107-143-177-219-221-190540-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN
HOPKINS LYON MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG
$$
MSC033-143-190540-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DESOTO TUNICA
$$
TNC017-033-045-047-053-075-079-097-113-131-157-167-183-190540-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL CROCKETT DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HAYWOOD
HENRY LAUDERDALE MADISON
OBION SHELBY TIPTON
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 132
VALID 190345Z - 190Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW SHV TO
20 NNW TXK TO 40 NNE TXK TO 45 NNE ELD TO 15 E LIT TO 35 NE LIT
TO 5 SE OWB.
..DIAL..03/19/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...PAH...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 132
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-013-025-027-035-037-041-043-057-069-073-077-079-085-
091-093-095-099-103-107-111-117-123-190440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CALHOUN
CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CRITTENDEN
CROSS DESHA DREW
HEMPSTEAD JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE
LEE LINCOLN LONOKE
MILLER MISSISSIPPI MONROE
NEVADA OUACHITA PHILLIPS
POINSETT PRAIRIE ST. FRANCIS
$$
KYC033-035-047-107-143-177-219-221-190440-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN
HOPKINS LYON MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG
$$
MSC033-143-190440-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DESOTO TUNICA
$$
TNC017-033-045-047-053-075-079-097-113-131-157-167-183-190440-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL CROCKETT DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HAYWOOD
HENRY LAUDERDALE MADISON
OBION SHELBY TIPTON
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 132
VALID 190250Z - 190Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 NE GGG TO
40 WSW TXK TO 20 SW DEQ TO 25 WNW LIT TO 25 WSW JBR TO 15 S PAH
TO 5 SE OWB.
..DIAL..03/19/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...PAH...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 132
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-013-019-025-027-031-035-037-039-041-043-051-053-057-
059-061-067-069-073-077-079-081-085-091-093-095-099-103-107-109-
111-117-119-123-125-133-145-147-190340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CALHOUN
CLARK CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS
DALLAS DESHA DREW
GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD
HOT SPRING HOWARD JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEE
LINCOLN LITTLE RIVER LONOKE
MILLER MISSISSIPPI MONROE
NEVADA OUACHITA PHILLIPS
PIKE POINSETT PRAIRIE
PULASKI ST. FRANCIS SALINE
SEVIER WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
KYC033-035-047-075-083-105-107-143-157-177-219-221-190340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
HOPKINS LYON MARSHALL
MUHLENBERG TODD TRIGG
$$
MSC033-143-190340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DESOTO TUNICA
$$
MOC069-155-190340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN PEMISCOT
$$
TNC017-033-045-047-053-075-079-095-097-113-131-157-167-183-
190340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL CROCKETT DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HAYWOOD
HENRY LAKE LAUDERDALE
MADISON OBION SHELBY
TIPTON WEAKLEY
$$
TXC037-067-203-315-190340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CASS HARRISON
MARION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 132
VALID 190155Z - 190Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE PRX TO
20 SW DEQ TO 40 WNW DYR TO 5 SSE OWB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 467
..DIAL..03/19/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...PAH...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 132
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-013-019-025-027-031-035-037-039-041-043-051-053-057-
059-061-067-069-073-077-079-081-085-091-093-095-099-103-107-109-
111-117-119-123-125-133-145-147-190240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CALHOUN
CLARK CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS
DALLAS DESHA DREW
GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD
HOT SPRING HOWARD JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEE
LINCOLN LITTLE RIVER LONOKE
MILLER MISSISSIPPI MONROE
NEVADA OUACHITA PHILLIPS
PIKE POINSETT PRAIRIE
PULASKI ST. FRANCIS SALINE
SEVIER WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
KYC033-035-047-075-083-105-107-143-157-177-219-221-190240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
HOPKINS LYON MARSHALL
MUHLENBERG TODD TRIGG
$$
MSC033-143-190240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DESOTO TUNICA
$$
MOC069-155-190240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN PEMISCOT
$$
TNC017-033-045-047-053-075-079-095-097-113-131-157-167-183-
190240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL CROCKETT DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HAYWOOD
HENRY LAKE LAUDERDALE
MADISON OBION SHELBY
TIPTON WEAKLEY
$$
TXC037-063-067-159-183-203-315-343-387-401-423-449-459-499-
190240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
FRANKLIN GREGG HARRISON
MARION MORRIS RED RIVER
RUSK SMITH TITUS
UPSHUR WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 132
VALID 190035Z - 190Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..03/19/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...PAH...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 132
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-013-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-035-037-039-041-043-
045-051-053-055-057-059-061-063-067-069-073-075-077-079-081-085-
091-093-095-097-099-103-105-107-109-111-117-119-121-123-125-133-
145-147-190140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CALHOUN
CLARK CLAY CLEBURNE
CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY
CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS
DALLAS DESHA DREW
FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT
GREENE HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING
HOWARD INDEPENDENCE JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE
LEE LINCOLN LITTLE RIVER
LONOKE MILLER MISSISSIPPI
MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA
OUACHITA PERRY PHILLIPS
PIKE POINSETT PRAIRIE
PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS
SALINE SEVIER WHITE
WOODRUFF
$$
ILC059-069-127-151-190140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GALLATIN HARDIN MASSAC
POPE
$$
INC129-147-163-173-190140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
POSEY SPENCER VANDERBURGH
WARRICK
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-
149-157-177-219-221-225-233-190140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MSC033-143-190140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DESOTO TUNICA
$$
MOC069-133-143-155-190140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT
$$
OKC089-190140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TNC017-033-045-047-053-075-079-095-097-113-131-157-167-183-
190140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL CROCKETT DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HAYWOOD
HENRY LAKE LAUDERDALE
MADISON OBION SHELBY
TIPTON WEAKLEY
$$
TXC037-063-067-159-183-203-213-223-315-343-379-387-401-423-449-
459-467-499-190140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
FRANKLIN GREGG HARRISON
HENDERSON HOPKINS MARION
MORRIS RAINS RED RIVER
RUSK SMITH TITUS
UPSHUR VAN ZANDT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.