Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 711
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
225 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
MUCH OF OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 225 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 110 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
MEDICINE LODGE KANSAS TO 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DURANT OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 708. WATCH NUMBER 708 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
225 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 709...WW 710...
DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP ALONG AND E
OF DRY LINE WRN OK. WITH STRONG SHEAR PROFILES IN PLACE AND AIR MASS
REMAINING MDTLY UNSTABLE...SUPERCELLS INCLUDING TORNADOES ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD EWD AHEAD OF VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 711 TORNADO KS OK 171925Z - 180300Z
AXIS..110 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
60ENE P28/MEDICINE LODGE KS/ - 15SW DUA/DURANT OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 95NM E/W /8S ICT - 38SE ADM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.
REPLACES WW 708..OK TX
LAT...LON 37599555 33779466 33779850 37599958
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 711 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #8 ON WW 711
VALID 180230Z - 180300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE DUA
TO 30 NNE MLC TO 20 WNW RKR.
WW 711 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 180300Z.
..PETERS..10/18/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-023-077-079-089-121-127-180300-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
LATIMER LE FLORE MCCURTAIN
PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 711
VALID 180145Z - 180240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNW GYI
TO 30 W MKO TO 15 NNE BVO TO 20 S CNU.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2102
..HART..10/18/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC099-180240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LABETTE
$$
OKC005-013-023-029-063-069-077-079-089-095-111-121-127-147-
180240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
COAL HUGHES JOHNSTON
LATIMER LE FLORE MCCURTAIN
MARSHALL OKMULGEE PITTSBURG
PUSHMATAHA WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 711
VALID 180040Z - 180140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW GYI
TO 35 SE CQB TO 50 W CNU.
..HART..10/18/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC019-049-099-125-180140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAUTAUQUA ELK LABETTE
MONTGOMERY
$$
OKC005-013-023-029-037-063-069-077-079-089-095-107-111-113-121-
127-143-147-180140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
COAL CREEK HUGHES
JOHNSTON LATIMER LE FLORE
MCCURTAIN MARSHALL OKFUSKEE
OKMULGEE OSAGE PITTSBURG
PUSHMATAHA TULSA WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 711
VALID 172335Z - 180040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW ADM
TO 30 WNW ADM TO 40 SE OKC TO 30 S PNC TO 20 N PNC TO 15 NNE AVK
TO 40 ESE DDC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2099.
..PETERS..10/17/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-019-035-049-077-095-099-125-151-191-180040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY
ELK HARPER KINGMAN
LABETTE MONTGOMERY PRATT
SUMNER
$$
OKC005-013-019-023-029-037-063-069-077-079-081-085-089-095-099-
107-111-113-117-119-121-123-125-127-133-143-147-180040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL CREEK
HUGHES JOHNSTON LATIMER
LE FLORE LINCOLN LOVE
MCCURTAIN MARSHALL MURRAY
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE OSAGE
PAWNEE PAYNE PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA
SEMINOLE TULSA WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 711
VALID 172250Z - 172340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W GYI TO
25 SE CHK TO 20 SE END TO 15 NNE AVK TO 25 ESE DDC.
..PETERS..10/17/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-019-035-049-077-095-099-125-151-191-172340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY
ELK HARPER KINGMAN
LABETTE MONTGOMERY PRATT
SUMNER
$$
OKC005-013-019-023-027-029-037-047-049-053-063-069-071-077-079-
081-083-085-087-089-095-099-103-107-109-111-113-117-119-121-123-
125-127-133-143-147-172340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW CLEVELAND COAL
CREEK GARFIELD GARVIN
GRANT HUGHES JOHNSTON
KAY LATIMER LE FLORE
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MCCURTAIN MARSHALL
MURRAY NOBLE OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE OSAGE
PAWNEE PAYNE PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA
SEMINOLE TULSA WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 711
VALID 172145Z - 172240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE SPS
TO 5 W CHK TO 40 NNW CHK TO 30 E GAG.
..PETERS..10/17/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-019-035-049-077-095-151-191-172240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY
ELK HARPER KINGMAN
PRATT SUMNER
$$
OKC003-005-011-013-017-019-023-027-029-037-047-049-051-053-063-
067-069-071-073-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-093-095-099-103-107-
109-111-113-117-119-121-123-125-127-133-137-143-147-172240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA ATOKA BLAINE
BRYAN CANADIAN CARTER
CHOCTAW CLEVELAND COAL
CREEK GARFIELD GARVIN
GRADY GRANT HUGHES
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON KAY
KINGFISHER LATIMER LE FLORE
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MCCURTAIN MAJOR
MARSHALL MURRAY NOBLE
OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE
OSAGE PAWNEE PAYNE
PITTSBURG PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE STEPHENS
TULSA WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 711
VALID 172055Z - 172140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE SPS TO
10 E FSI TO 25 WNW CHK TO 15 NE CSM.
..SPC..10/17/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-019-035-049-077-095-151-191-172140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY
ELK HARPER KINGMAN
PRATT SUMNER
$$
OKC003-005-011-013-017-019-023-027-029-037-039-043-047-049-051-
053-063-067-069-071-073-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-093-095-099-
103-107-109-111-113-117-119-121-123-125-127-133-137-143-147-151-
172140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA ATOKA BLAINE
BRYAN CANADIAN CARTER
CHOCTAW CLEVELAND COAL
CREEK CUSTER DEWEY
GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY
GRANT HUGHES JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KAY KINGFISHER
LATIMER LE FLORE LINCOLN
LOGAN LOVE MCCLAIN
MCCURTAIN MAJOR MARSHALL
MURRAY NOBLE OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE OSAGE
PAWNEE PAYNE PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TULSA
WASHINGTON WOODS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 711
VALID 172000Z - 172140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..10/17/07
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...TSA...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 711
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-019-035-049-077-095-151-191-172140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY
ELK HARPER KINGMAN
PRATT SUMNER
$$
OKC003-005-011-013-015-017-019-023-027-029-031-033-037-039-043-
047-049-051-053-063-067-069-071-073-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-
093-095-099-103-107-109-111-113-117-119-121-123-125-127-133-137-
143-147-151-172140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA ATOKA BLAINE
BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CHOCTAW CLEVELAND
COAL COMANCHE COTTON
CREEK CUSTER DEWEY
GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY
GRANT HUGHES JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KAY KINGFISHER
LATIMER LE FLORE LINCOLN
LOGAN LOVE MCCLAIN
MCCURTAIN MAJOR MARSHALL
MURRAY NOBLE OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE OSAGE
PAWNEE PAYNE PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TULSA
WASHINGTON WOODS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.