Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 95
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
525 PM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST...CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 525 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF DEL
RIO TEXAS TO 35 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF PARIS TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 92...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 93. WATCH NUMBER 92 93
WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 525 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 94...
DISCUSSION...FAIRLY WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF SEVERE TSTMS EXPECTED
OVER WW THIS EVENING AS 60 KT MID LEVEL SPEED MAX ASSOCIATED WITH
EJECTING NM UPR TROUGH OVERSPREADS REGION. GREATEST THREAT FOR
DISCRETE STORMS WITH TORNADOES/LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY HIGH WIND
EXPECTED TO EXIST IN THE RIO GRANDE VLY FROM NEAR DRT E/NE INTO ERN
PARTS OF THE HILL COUNTRY...WHERE RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS PRESENT
AND WHERE GREATEST HEATING OCCURRED EARLIER TODAY. A MORE ISOLATED
TORNADO THREAT AND/OR LOW LEVEL SPIN-UP TORNADOES/DAMAGING WINDS
APPEAR MORE LIKELY ALONG DEVELOPING LINEAR MCS FROM THE RED RVR SWD
INTO NRN PARTS OF THE HILL COUNTRY. AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAY
ALSO PERSIST IN WARM ADVECTION ZONE ALONG ERN FRINGE OF SLY LLJ IN E
CNTRL TX.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 95 TORNADO TX 302225Z - 310600Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45ESE DRT/DEL RIO TX/ - 35WNW PRX/PARIS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /32ESE DLF - 62ESE ADM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
REPLACES WW 92..TX
REPLACES WW 93..TX
LAT...LON 29110155 33819741 33819462 29119891
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 95 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 95
VALID 310555Z - 310600Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE DRT
TO 45 NW SAT TO 15 WSW ACT TO 30 ESE DAL TO 45 N TYR.
WW 95 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 310600Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 390
..CARBIN..03/31/07
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 95
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-019-027-029-031-053-091-145-161-209-213-257-259-289-293-
309-323-325-331-349-379-395-453-463-467-491-507-310600-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BANDERA BELL
BEXAR BLANCO BURNET
COMAL FALLS FREESTONE
HAYS HENDERSON KAUFMAN
KENDALL LEON LIMESTONE
MCLENNAN MAVERICK MEDINA
MILAM NAVARRO RAINS
ROBERTSON TRAVIS UVALDE
VAN ZANDT WILLIAMSON ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 95
VALID 310455Z - 310540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW DRT
TO 40 ESE BWD TO 15 ESE DUA.
..GOSS..03/31/07
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 95
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-019-027-029-031-035-053-091-099-119-139-145-147-161-171-
193-209-213-217-223-231-257-259-265-277-281-289-293-299-309-323-
325-331-333-349-379-395-453-463-467-491-507-310540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BANDERA BELL
BEXAR BLANCO BOSQUE
BURNET COMAL CORYELL
DELTA ELLIS FALLS
FANNIN FREESTONE GILLESPIE
HAMILTON HAYS HENDERSON
HILL HOPKINS HUNT
KAUFMAN KENDALL KERR
LAMAR LAMPASAS LEON
LIMESTONE LLANO MCLENNAN
MAVERICK MEDINA MILAM
MILLS NAVARRO RAINS
ROBERTSON TRAVIS UVALDE
VAN ZANDT WILLIAMSON ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 95
VALID 310345Z - 310440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE DRT
TO 40 ESE BWD TO 15 SE DUA.
..GOSS..03/31/07
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 95
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-019-027-029-031-035-053-091-099-119-137-139-145-147-161-
171-193-209-213-217-223-231-257-259-265-267-271-277-281-289-293-
299-309-319-323-325-331-349-379-385-395-411-453-463-465-467-491-
507-310440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BANDERA BELL
BEXAR BLANCO BOSQUE
BURNET COMAL CORYELL
DELTA EDWARDS ELLIS
FALLS FANNIN FREESTONE
GILLESPIE HAMILTON HAYS
HENDERSON HILL HOPKINS
HUNT KAUFMAN KENDALL
KERR KIMBLE KINNEY
LAMAR LAMPASAS LEON
LIMESTONE LLANO MCLENNAN
MASON MAVERICK MEDINA
MILAM NAVARRO RAINS
REAL ROBERTSON SAN SABA
TRAVIS UVALDE VAL VERDE
VAN ZANDT WILLIAMSON ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 95
VALID 310235Z - 310340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW JCT
TO 45 NE JCT TO 35 SSW FTW TO 15 ESE DUA.
..GRAMS..03/31/07
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 95
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-019-027-029-031-035-053-085-091-099-113-119-137-139-145-
147-161-171-181-193-209-213-217-223-231-251-257-259-265-267-271-
277-281-289-293-299-309-319-323-325-331-333-349-379-385-395-397-
411-439-453-463-465-467-491-507-310340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BANDERA BELL
BEXAR BLANCO BOSQUE
BURNET COLLIN COMAL
CORYELL DALLAS DELTA
EDWARDS ELLIS FALLS
FANNIN FREESTONE GILLESPIE
GRAYSON HAMILTON HAYS
HENDERSON HILL HOPKINS
HUNT JOHNSON KAUFMAN
KENDALL KERR KIMBLE
KINNEY LAMAR LAMPASAS
LEON LIMESTONE LLANO
MCLENNAN MASON MAVERICK
MEDINA MILAM MILLS
NAVARRO RAINS REAL
ROBERTSON ROCKWALL SAN SABA
TARRANT TRAVIS UVALDE
VAL VERDE VAN ZANDT WILLIAMSON
ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 95
VALID 310155Z - 310240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW JCT
TO 50 NNE JCT TO 15 S FTW TO 15 SE DUA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 385
..GRAMS..03/31/07
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 95
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-019-027-029-031-035-053-085-091-099-113-119-137-139-145-
147-161-171-193-209-213-217-223-231-251-257-259-265-267-271-277-
281-289-293-299-307-309-319-323-325-327-331-333-349-379-385-395-
397-411-425-435-439-453-463-465-467-491-507-310240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BANDERA BELL
BEXAR BLANCO BOSQUE
BURNET COLLIN COMAL
CORYELL DALLAS DELTA
EDWARDS ELLIS FALLS
FANNIN FREESTONE GILLESPIE
HAMILTON HAYS HENDERSON
HILL HOPKINS HUNT
JOHNSON KAUFMAN KENDALL
KERR KIMBLE KINNEY
LAMAR LAMPASAS LEON
LIMESTONE LLANO MCCULLOCH
MCLENNAN MASON MAVERICK
MEDINA MENARD MILAM
MILLS NAVARRO RAINS
REAL ROBERTSON ROCKWALL
SAN SABA SOMERVELL SUTTON
TARRANT TRAVIS UVALDE
VAL VERDE VAN ZANDT WILLIAMSON
ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 95
VALID 310035Z - 310140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BRIGHT..03/31/07
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 95
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-019-027-029-031-035-049-053-083-085-091-093-095-097-099-
113-119-121-137-139-143-145-147-161-171-181-193-209-213-217-221-
223-231-251-257-259-265-267-271-277-281-289-293-299-307-309-319-
323-325-327-331-333-349-363-367-379-385-395-397-411-413-425-435-
439-453-463-465-467-491-497-507-310140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BANDERA BELL
BEXAR BLANCO BOSQUE
BROWN BURNET COLEMAN
COLLIN COMAL COMANCHE
CONCHO COOKE CORYELL
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
EDWARDS ELLIS ERATH
FALLS FANNIN FREESTONE
GILLESPIE GRAYSON HAMILTON
HAYS HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JOHNSON KAUFMAN KENDALL
KERR KIMBLE KINNEY
LAMAR LAMPASAS LEON
LIMESTONE LLANO MCCULLOCH
MCLENNAN MASON MAVERICK
MEDINA MENARD MILAM
MILLS NAVARRO PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS REAL
ROBERTSON ROCKWALL SAN SABA
SCHLEICHER SOMERVELL SUTTON
TARRANT TRAVIS UVALDE
VAL VERDE VAN ZANDT WILLIAMSON
WISE ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 95
VALID 302345Z - 310040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BRIGHT..03/30/07
ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 95
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-019-027-029-031-035-049-053-083-085-091-093-095-097-099-
113-119-121-137-139-143-145-147-161-171-181-193-209-213-217-221-
223-231-251-257-259-265-267-271-277-281-289-293-299-307-309-319-
323-325-327-331-333-349-363-367-379-385-395-397-411-413-425-435-
439-453-463-465-467-491-497-507-310040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BANDERA BELL
BEXAR BLANCO BOSQUE
BROWN BURNET COLEMAN
COLLIN COMAL COMANCHE
CONCHO COOKE CORYELL
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
EDWARDS ELLIS ERATH
FALLS FANNIN FREESTONE
GILLESPIE GRAYSON HAMILTON
HAYS HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JOHNSON KAUFMAN KENDALL
KERR KIMBLE KINNEY
LAMAR LAMPASAS LEON
LIMESTONE LLANO MCCULLOCH
MCLENNAN MASON MAVERICK
MEDINA MENARD MILAM
MILLS NAVARRO PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS REAL
ROBERTSON ROCKWALL SAN SABA
SCHLEICHER SOMERVELL SUTTON
TARRANT TRAVIS UVALDE
VAL VERDE VAN ZANDT WILLIAMSON
WISE ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.