Mesoscale Discussion 0024
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1157 PM CST Mon Jan 08 2024

   Areas affected...southeast LA...southern MS/AL and far western FL
   Panhandle

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 3...

   Valid 090557Z - 090730Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 3 continues.

   SUMMARY...The tornado risk will continue into the overnight hours
   across the central Gulf Coast vicinity.

   DISCUSSION...A surface warm front extends from south-central MS
   southeast toward Mobile Bay as of 0545z. The narrow warm sector
   south of the the warm front and ahead of an eastward-advancing cold
   front will continue to spread east along the central Gulf Coast
   through the overnight and early morning hours. A modified 03z RAOB
   from LIX indicated even with upper 60s F surface dewpoints, some
   surface inhibition is still present. Nevertheless, intense vertical
   shear, evident in regional VWP data will remain favorable for
   rotating storms within the moderately unstable warm sector.

   Some increase in convection across the inland warm sector, as well
   as just offshore has been noted over the past hour or so. If any of
   these cells can become established at the surface, or via
   interactions with the eastward-advancing line of convection, tornado
   potential may increase over the next few hours, especially across
   southern AL/western FL Panhandle. Otherwise, linear/bowing segments
   north of the warm front may continue to pose a risk of strong gusts
   and/or hail.

   ..Leitman.. 01/09/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

   LAT...LON   31828958 31968811 31318719 30378713 28978824 28608974
               28839120 29859143 30649087 31748992 31828958