Mesoscale Discussion 0603
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0554 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024

   Areas affected...southeast Texas into southwest Louisiana

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 021054Z - 021230Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Strong thunderstorms may locally produce gusty winds or
   hail to near 1 inch over the next couple of hours.

   DISCUSSION...Isolated thunderstorms will continue shifting
   east/southeast the next few hours. A 30-40 kt southerly low-level
   jet and embedded, convectively induced MCV is likely aiding in
   continued thunderstorm organization amid moderate instability
   (MLCAPE 1500-2000 J/kg). Sporadic, locally strong gusts are
   possible, in additional to hail to near 1 inch, before storms move
   offshore over the next couple of hours. Given the marginal nature of
   the severe threat, and limited spatial/temporal extent of the
   threat, a watch is not expected.

   ..Leitman/Edwards.. 05/02/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...

   LAT...LON   29919546 30179604 30349616 30649604 30969575 31019543
               30889419 30699327 30469286 30239269 29569291 29369357
               29469431 29919546