Mesoscale Discussion 0600
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1127 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024

   Areas affected...Northern KS...South-Central/Southeast NE

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 174...

   Valid 020427Z - 020600Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 174
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Threat for strong gusts will expand eastward across
   north-central/northeast KS and far south-central/southeast NE, and a
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be needed soon. Isolated hail
   will remain possible across western and north-central KS in the wake
   of the bow.

   DISCUSSION...Ongoing convective line over northwest KS has undergone
   notable intensification and organization over the last hour or so.
   Several gusts from 50 to 80 mph have been reported with this bow
   thus far. This bow is expected to continue progressing
   eastward/northeastward for the at least the next few hours. Current
   storm motion is estimated to be northeastward at 40 kt, taking this
   bow to the current edge of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 174 by 0630Z.
   However, some acceleration of this bow is possible, likely bringing
   it to the edge of the watch sooner. Damaging wind gusts will be the
   primary threat, with some isolated significant-severe gusts up to 80
   mph also possible. Isolated large hail around 1" to 1.25" is also
   possible. Given this severe potential, a downstream watch will
   likely be needed.

   More cellular development is possible to the west of this bow, as
   warm-air advection across the bow's outflow fosters additional
   storms. Large hail from 1" to 2" is possible with this activity.

   ..Mosier/Guyer.. 05/02/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   38829697 38379882 38130106 38520168 39570102 40079934
               40559628 39609560 39129584 38829697