Mesoscale Discussion 0591
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0357 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024

   Areas affected...West Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170...

   Valid 012057Z - 012230Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A severe threat of very large hail exceeding 2 inches in
   diameter and damaging wind gusts over 70 mph continues across most
   of west Texas this afternoon. Additional supercells may continue to
   develop along the dryline through the early evening hours.

   DISCUSSION...Latest KMAF reflectivity shows a few supercells over
   the higher terrain of west Texas near Fort Stockton and the Davis
   Mountains. The regenerative supercell near Fort Stockton recently
   deviated southward and may be in the process of tornadogenensis,
   although low level shear remains relatively modest. Environmental
   parameters across the region will continue to support organized
   updrafts, especially near and south of Fort Stockton over the next
   1-2 hours. Hail and damaging winds are likely, and the severe risk
   continues across much of WW170.

   ..Barnes/Lyons.. 05/01/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

   LAT...LON   31790267 32140252 32660230 32930206 32950134 32930077
               32600059 32240058 31930073 31560099 31080124 30620141
               30280159 29740202 29630229 29670346 30170346 30540327
               31790267