Mesoscale Discussion 0542
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0115 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

   Areas affected...much of western Kansas into southeast Colorado

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 271815Z - 272045Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...A few severe storms may develop this afternoon near the
   front from southeast Colorado into parts of western Kansas, with
   large hail the primary threat.

   DISCUSSION...Surface analysis shows low pressure over southwest KS,
   with a dryline near the OK/TX Panhandle border. A prominent surface
   front stretches from southeast CO across west-central KS, with a few
   storms already near the central to northeast KS portion of the
   front.

   Substantial storms are ongoing from northwest OK into south-central
   KS near ICT, and this activity has produced outflow which is
   affecting destabilization over central KS currently. However,
   further heating will likely lead to sufficient instability to
   support a few severe storms capable of hail. Northeast surface winds
   north of the front will further aid deep-layer shear, and
   potentially support left-moving storms with hail potential.

   ..Jewell/Hart.. 04/27/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...PUB...

   LAT...LON   38689834 38409900 38160040 37670144 37320192 37130238
               37300316 37980310 38500253 39150090 39649953 39639860
               39309810 38689834