Mesoscale Discussion 0518
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0919 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024

   Areas affected...portions of west and northwest Texas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 260219Z - 260345Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

   SUMMARY...Severe threat is increasing through the evening/overnight.
   A watch will likely be needed soon.

   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm development has been noted near the
   Permian Basin across southwestern Texas. Expectations are for
   further development to continue through the next few hours, with
   upscale growth into a potential MCS overnight. Given the potential
   for upscale growth, the main threats will likely be damaging winds
   and hail. A tornado or two will be possible, given favorable
   deep-layer shear. A watch will likely be needed within the hour.

   ..Thornton/Edwards.. 04/26/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

   LAT...LON   31630301 31690332 31940338 32190336 32780303 33700195
               34260082 34480007 34429968 34149888 34009866 33909841
               33029927 32249987 31870147 31610244 31630301