Mesoscale Discussion 0371
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0147 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024

   Areas affected...Portions of central North Carolina

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 031847Z - 032045Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Damaging wind gusts and perhaps a tornado are possible.
   Large hail probability is low, but a supercell could produce
   marginally severe hail.

   DISCUSSION...Two clusters of storms have develop over the last hour,
   one just northwest of Raleigh and near Fayetteville. The
   northernmost cluster is in a better thermodynamic and kinematic
   environment and has shown a tendency contain supercellular
   structures. The KRAX VAD shows very strong deep-layer shear and some
   low-level hodograph curvature (though less than areas to the north
   and east). The strongest storms will be capable of damaging wind
   gusts and perhaps a tornado. The large hail threat should be
   mitigated by generally poor mid-level lapse rates, but a
   supercellular storm mode could lead to at least marginally severe
   hail despite those environmental limitations.

   As the strongest storms are anticipated to move into WW87 relatively
   soon, no new watch is expected. Should these storm intensify more
   than currently forecast, a local extension of WW87 would be the most
   likely course of action.

   ..Wendt/Thompson.. 04/03/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...

   LAT...LON   35897834 35797806 35477784 35047820 34637899 34687942
               34807962 35077977 35337983 36017915 35977866 35897834