Mesoscale Discussion 0370
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0122 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024

   Areas affected...North-central North Carolina into Southeast
   Virginia

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 87...

   Valid 031822Z - 031945Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 87 continues.

   SUMMARY...Discrete storms ahead of the cold front will pose the
   greatest risk for a tornado this afternoon. The northward extent of
   the risk will depend on how far north the warm front lifts.

   DISCUSSION...Currently, the mesoscale environment most supportive of
   a tornado exists near/south of the warm front in north-central North
   Carolina into southeast Virginia. In particular, a storm near the
   Granville/Vance County line has intensified in the last hour. This
   discrete storm will continue northeastward into an area of surface
   heating through anvil cirrus. The AKQ VAD shows a fairly large
   low-level hodograph. Discrete storms ahead of the surface font will
   pose the greatest short term tornado risk. Some northward lifting of
   the warm front is possible, but uncertain. Tornado risk along the
   front is also unclear, though the strongest activity has generally
   tended to be more discrete elements embedded within weaker
   precipitation. That said, some risk, though lower, will also exist
   along the front.

   ..Wendt.. 04/03/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...RNK...

   LAT...LON   35847825 36027888 36227937 36497943 37217807 37517709
               37807654 37697618 37157632 36507694 36007750 35877780
               35847825