Mesoscale Discussion 0350
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1258 PM CDT Tue Apr 02 2024

   Areas affected...Portions of central/northern Louisiana into parts
   of southern/central Mississippi

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 021758Z - 022000Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...Though uncertainty exists, a watch is possible for
   portions of central/southern Mississippi depending on overall trends
   in storm coverage and organization. Large hail and damaging winds
   are the primary hazards.

   DISCUSSION...Storms in central Louisiana have steadily deepened over
   the past hour or two. These storms will continue northeastward into
   a moist airmass where temperatures are in the low 80s F. Additional
   storms are possible along the pre-frontal wind shift and later the
   cold front. The observed 17Z JAN sounding showed a very modest
   decrease in a warm layer at around 700 mb. Effective shear is
   sufficient for a few organized updrafts. Additional cooling aloft as
   the main synoptic trough approaches may also lead to some
   intensification by late afternoon. While the need for a watch is
   uncertain at this time, a watch for parts of central/southern
   Mississippi is possible should trends in convective coverage and
   organization warrant.

   ..Wendt/Thompson.. 04/02/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

   LAT...LON   31708930 31468978 31269050 31079193 31319260 31689257
               32079246 32409222 32789195 33339115 33669031 33518950
               33028885 32118890 31708930