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Mesoscale Discussion 95
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0095
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0352 PM CST Sat Jan 27 2024

   Areas affected...Portions of the Florida Panhandle and far southwest
   Georgia

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 12...

   Valid 272152Z - 272315Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 12 continues.

   SUMMARY...Strong to locally severe gusts remain possible across
   portions of Tornado Watch 12 for the next few hours.

   DISCUSSION...KTLH radar data shows a loosely organized convective
   line tracking eastward across the eastern portion of the FL
   Panhandle at around 45 kt this afternoon. Peak gusts associated with
   this line of storms have been in the 40-50 mph range, primarily
   focused over coastal areas where surface-based buoyancy has been
   greatest (albeit weak). 40-50 kt of 0-6 km shear (per KTLH VWP data)
   oriented oblique to the leading-edge gust front should continue
   favoring an organized linear structure with embedded stronger/deeper
   cores. Despite poor deep-layer lapse rates and weak inland buoyancy,
   this favorable deep-layer shear and established cold pool should
   support a continued risk of strong to locally damaging gusts and
   perhaps a brief/weak tornado as the line continues eastward over the
   next few hours.

   ..Weinman.. 01/27/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TAE...

   LAT...LON   29928460 30398469 30778469 30918461 31018431 31008391
               30898360 30528349 29948362 29728382 29738430 29928460 

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