Mesoscale Discussion 0824
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1153 AM CDT Mon May 31 2021

   Areas affected...Western Upper Peninsula

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 311653Z - 311900Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Small to marginally severe (around 1 inch) hail will be
   possible this afternoon. Wind gust potential will increase as
   surface temperatures warm. No WW is expected.

   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have developed ahead of a compact
   shortwave trough now over the Minnesota arrowhead. These initial
   storms will be capable of small to perhaps marginally severe (around
   1 inch) hail. As surface temperatures continue to warm downstream of
   these storms, the potential for strong/damaging wind gusts will
   increase. Visible satellite also shows cumulus development along a
   lake breeze front near the southern Upper Peninsula. The boundary
   may serve as another focus for development later today. Even if
   storms do not develop along the lake breeze front, storms that
   interact with the boundary may briefly intensify. No WW is expected
   today.

   ..Wendt/Hart.. 05/31/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...

   LAT...LON   46708941 46978841 46538687 46128652 45788684 45578739
               45638830 46358957 46708941