Mesoscale Discussion 1575
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0638 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019

   Areas affected...the Colorado Front Range

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 222338Z - 230045Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms are expected to continue through
   the evening. No watch is expected.

   DISCUSSION...Storms have developed in the vicinity of the surface
   low/outflow boundary just south and east of Denver. A 69kt wind gust
   was measured at the Denver airport at 2304Z. This gust was likely
   brief and localized based on the radar observations of a core
   collapse in that area. Given the steep low-level lapse rates, these
   localized downbursts will continue to be possible as additional
   strong thunderstorm cores collapse through the evening. The greatest
   threat will likely be in Adams, Arapahoe, Elbert, and Douglas
   counties for the next few hours.

   Farther south, storms have mostly remained over the higher terrain,
   but some convection is starting to drift off the higher terrain and
   could impact areas such as Pueblo in the next 1 to 2 hours. The
   primary threat with these storms will also be severe wind gusts.

   ..Bentley.. 07/22/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...

   LAT...LON   40020514 40260455 39030334 38030318 37240329 37010394
               37020451 37170491 37540516 39460539 40020514