Mesoscale Discussion 1333
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0509 PM CDT Mon Jul 01 2019

   Areas affected...southeast South Dakota and southern Minnesota

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 475...

   Valid 012209Z - 020015Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 475
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat for WW475 continues with damaging wind
   gusts as the main threat. Large hail and a brief, weak tornado are
   also possible.

   DISCUSSION...Storms are developing and moving eastward from
   southeast South Dakota through southern Minnesota. A remnant MCV
   continues to track eastward helping to develop storms while daytime
   heating in the warm sector and lifting from the warm front are
   helping initiate storms as well. Storms will continue to track
   eastward across southern Minnesota with new development likely
   continuing in southeast Dakota.

   A warm, moist airmass is in place with MLCAPE near 2000 J/kg across
   the area per mesoanalysis. With about 35-40 knots of effective bulk
   shear, a continuation of mixed mode convection is likely with the
   possibility of isolated discrete, weaker supercells. Damaging wind
   gusts remain the primary threat, but large hail and a brief, weak
   tornado are also possible, especially with any discrete supercells
   or near the MCV.

   ..Nauslar/Thompson.. 07/01/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...

   LAT...LON   42579641 42869728 43159784 43479777 43809730 43949649
               44359514 44489233 44449190 44179166 43909158 43579154
               43369160 43139179 42979200 42909238 42909291 42869381
               42639513 42579641