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Mesoscale Discussion 1166 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1166
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0546 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2019
Areas affected...south-central Minnesota
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 202246Z - 202345Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...A cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms persists
across Redwood/Brown counties currently. A WW is being considered,
and trends will continue to be monitored.
DISCUSSION...Storms in the discussion area have evolved into a small
cluster of semi-discrete cells. These storms are in an environment
characterized by moderate instability and relatively weak low-level
shear, though it appears that cells have recently favorably
interacted with a warm front/stationary boundary in the region and
acquired occasional updraft rotation. This has results in
occasional instances of large hail, funnel clouds, and even a brief
tornado within the past 15 minutes or so. Storms have also taken on
a rightward-moving component as well, with updraft motion along the
boundary suggestive of possible persistence toward the MN/IA border
through the evening.
Given these trends, a WW issuance may be needed especially if storms
maintain their intensity.
..Cook/Kerr.. 06/20/2019
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MPX...DMX...FSD...
LAT...LON 44789562 44799510 44539434 44009375 43609365 43439411
43519490 43829551 44309575 44589573 44789562
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