Mesoscale Discussion 0967
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0450 PM CDT Mon Jun 03 2019

   Areas affected...southwest KS...OK Panhandle...northwest TX
   Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely 

   Valid 032150Z - 032245Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...A large hail/severe gust risk will likely develop to the
   east of severe thunderstorm watches 321, 322 with a broken band of
   thunderstorms.

   DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic shows storms becoming aligned in a broken
   band from near Clayton, NM northeast through southeast CO.  RAP
   forecast soundings show steep lapse rates from the surface through
   300mb (7.5-8.0 degrees C/km).  A moist/unstable boundary layer
   features lower 60s dewpoints to the east of the developing storms. 
   Although effective shear is marginal for organized severe storms, it
   appears the strong upper tropospheric flow increasing from 50kt to
   80kt in the 300mb-200mb layer will compensate for some severe storm
   organization when coupled with the steep lapse rate profile.  Large
   hail and severe gusts are the main severe threats with these storms.

   ..Smith/Grams.. 06/03/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...PUB...

   LAT...LON   38190155 38320056 38099994 37559970 35530175 35110232
               35450302 36810298 38190155