MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2333
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0306 PM CST WED NOV 16 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN GA...SC...CNTRL NC
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 890...
   
   VALID 162106Z - 162300Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 890 CONTINUES.
   
   SEVERE STORMS...SOME POSSIBLY TORNADIC...CONTINUE TO EVOLVE ACROSS
   CNTRL AND ERN GA AND NOW INTO NWRN SC. ANOTHER WATCH MAY BE NEEDED
   TO THE E OF WW 890.
   
   RADAR SHOWS A LARGE CLUSTER OF CELLS OVER CNTRL GA ALONG A WEAK LOW
   PRESSURE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS NWD TO A MESO LOW THAT HAS BEEN MOVING
   ALONG THE FRONT NOW OVER WRN NC. SUBSTANTIAL SHEAR AND SUFFICIENT
   INSTABILITY EXIST OVER A LARGE AREA INCLUDING GA...SC AND MUCH OF
   NC. PROFILES CONTINUE TO FAVOR SUPERCELLS...WITH LOW LCLS AND
   EFFECTIVE SRH IN EXCESS OF 200 M2/S2 FAVORING TORNADO DEVELOPMENT.
   EVEN STORMS THAT DO NOT PRODUCE TORNADOES BUT STILL EXHIBIT ROTATION
   WILL BE CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
   
   MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE NWD ACROSS WRN
   NC...AND APPEARS SUFFICIENT FOR A TORNADO THREAT GIVEN AMPLE SHEAR
   IN PLACE AND ROTATING STORMS NOTED UPSTREAM. THEREFORE...THIS ZONE
   MAY EVENTUALLY REQUIRE A WATCH.
   
   ACTIVITY OVER CNTRL GA IS VERY STRONG AND CELLULAR...AND WILL SHIFT
   INTO SC AND OTHER PARTS OF SERN GA. ANOTHER WATCH IS LIKELY IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 11/16/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...
   
   LAT...LON   32088046 31328264 31888277 32798211 33448185 34368167
               34988187 35648165 36538046 36567886 36347826 35177822
               33747860 32907918 32088046