MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2292
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0504 PM CST MON NOV 07 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...TX PANHANDLE
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 072304Z - 080000Z
   
   TSTM COVERAGE IS ANTICIPATED TO INCREASE THROUGH THIS EVENING ACROSS
   PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL/ERN TX PANHANDLE. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL
   LIKELY BE LARGE HAIL WITH THESE STORMS. 
   
   RADAR TRENDS SHOW ONGOING TSTMS NEAR SFC COLD FRONT SEGMENT ARCING
   WNWD ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE...LIKELY AIDED BY INCREASING FORCED
   ASCENT OVERSPREADING THE REGION AHEAD OF A SW CONUS UPPER TROUGH.
   NELY STORM MOTION WILL CAUSE TSTMS TO MOVE INTO LOWER THETA-E
   ENVIRONMENT AND BECOME ELEVATED. HOWEVER...WITH STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE
   RATES IN PLACE...COMBINED WITH 40-50 KTS OF 3-6 KM AGL LAYER FLOW
   /PER TCU AND JTN PROFILER DATA/...SOME ROTATING TSTMS CAPABLE OF
   PRODUCING LARGE HAIL ARE EXPECTED. UNCERTAINTY REGARDING COVERAGE OF
   THE SVR THREAT WILL PRECLUDE IMMEDIATE ISSUANCE OF A WW ...BUT
   TRENDS IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
   
   ..ROGERS.. 11/07/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...
   
   LAT...LON   35530048 34980100 34690155 34500196 34540242 34770273
               35110293 35380260 35690197 35990102 35910053 35530048