MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2110
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0230 PM CDT SAT SEP 03 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NERN NM...TX PANHANDLE...NWRN OK...SERN
   KS
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 031930Z - 032100Z
   
   ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
   AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. A MARGINAL THREAT FOR GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL
   WILL ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS INTO THE EARLY EVENING.
   
   A FEW STRONG STORMS HAD DEVELOPED ACROSS THE WRN TX PANHANDLE AS
   WELL AS INTO PARTS OF ERN KS THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.
   WHILE THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT WILL NOT BE SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED
   CONVECTION...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM FAR
   NERN NM ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE INTO NWRN OK AND SERN KS. WEAK DEEP
   LAYER SHEAR...GENERALLY LESS THAN 30 KT AND MLCAPE VALUES BELOW 1000
   J/KG WILL LIMIT STORM COVERAGE AND INTENSITY. BUT...STEEP MID AND
   LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN ADDITION TO LARGE TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT
   SPREADS WILL AID IN WIND GUST POTENTIAL WITH STRONGER STORMS. ANY
   SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS WILL ALSO POSE A MARGINAL HAIL THREAT AS WELL.
   
   ..LEITMAN.. 09/03/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...
   ABQ...
   
   LAT...LON   35369964 35010034 34810118 34650229 34580336 34680388
               34800426 34940456 35220476 35550493 35950495 36140470
               36230451 36230413 36220367 36160316 36040248 35950206
               36060128 36330053 37609836 38439660 38699575 38679519
               38429492 38129501 37699541 37069639 36529730 35979834
               35659895 35609913 35369964