MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2106
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0945 AM CDT SAT SEP 03 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL / SRN LOWER MI
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 827...
   
   VALID 031445Z - 031545Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 827
   CONTINUES.
   
   A RISK FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUES ACROSS NERN PORTION OF
   WW 827.  OTHERWISE...SEVERE THREAT IS DIMINISHING FROM W-E ACROSS
   WATCH AREA.
   
   RECENT TRENDS IN REGIONAL RADAR DATA INDICATE A GRADUAL WEAKENING
   TREND TO SMALL BOWING MCS THAT WAS LOCATED OVER GLADWIN...MIDLAND
   AND GRATIOT COUNTIES AS OF 1430Z.  MODIFICATION OF 12Z DETROIT
   SOUNDING FOR CURRENT BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS S OF MCS SUGGESTS
   THAT SYSTEM IS STILL SLIGHTLY ELEVATED ALONG NRN EDGE OF STRONGER
   CAPPING WHICH REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS SRN LOWER MI.  ISOLATED
   DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT ONE TO TWO
   HOURS ALONG A MBS-BAX LINE...WHILE ELSEWHERE THE SEVERE WEATHER
   THREAT WILL DIMINISH WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE MCS AND ASSOCIATED GUST
   FRONT TO THE EAST.
   
   ..MEAD.. 09/03/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...
   
   LAT...LON   44048413 44218344 44078261 43538236 43258292 43228365
               43398402 43628409 44048413