MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1884
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0221 PM CDT SUN AUG 07 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...TX/OK PNHDLS...SW KS...WRN OK
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 071921Z - 072115Z
   
   ISOLATED INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR OVER PARTS OF
   THE TX/OK PANHANDLES...SOUTHWEST KS...AND WESTERN OK.  ISOLATED
   NATURE OF RISK SUGGESTS A WATCH IS UNLIKELY.
   
   VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN INCREASING CU FIELD AND A FEW
   THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE NE TX PANHANDLE.  THIS IS IN A
   REGION CONSTRAINED BY THREE SURFACE BOUNDARIES.  TWO OUTFLOW
   BOUNDARIES OVER KS/OK...AND A WEAK LEE SURGE NEAR THE RATON RIDGE. 
   THIS LEAVES THE DISCUSSION AREA IN A REGION OF A DEEPLY MIXED
   BOUNDARY LAYER WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR 100F AND MIXING DEPTHS AROUND
   10000 FT.  DESPITE WEAK FLOW ALOFT...SUFFICIENT CAPE WILL PROMOTE
   THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED VERY HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF
   LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
   
   ..HART.. 08/07/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...
   
   LAT...LON   34599929 34290133 34850248 35620276 36780215 37460141
               37760002 37219906 36249948 35459921 35149843 34899863
               34599929